At what point in the day do you think Hillary's team knew things were rough? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 09, 2024, 06:32:22 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  At what point in the day do you think Hillary's team knew things were rough? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: At what point in the day do you think Hillary's team knew things were rough?  (Read 2401 times)
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« on: November 11, 2016, 04:44:08 PM »

That night there were three big alarms that all came in quick succession (between 8:30 pm and 9 pm, IIRC):

1. The Florida vote dump that suddenly put Trump ahead statewide, and ahead in Obama counties (specifically Pinellas)
2. Clinton's very bad, no good numbers in Virginia
3. Pennsylvania being very close even after a lot of Democratic areas had come in.

When Michigan returns started rolling in, I think they knew they were probably screwed.

But I have a feeling they had internal numbers and early voting data beforehand that scared them.  I mentioned in a thread on here back on Monday that I was very nervous about PA for a number of reasons.  I guarantee you they were as well.
Logged
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« Reply #1 on: November 11, 2016, 07:09:20 PM »

Personally I started sh**tting my pants when I saw the early Virginia returns.  I imagine they knew at least by then or more likely before.

Don't know how many elections you've watched closely.  But eventually you'll watch enough of them to know exactly how Virginia counts....and you won't be fooled by VA early returns again.  There's no other state like it out there.  The Republican areas always report early and the Dem areas always report late.

No other state has such a strong and consistent tendency to give misleading early counting results.

Even given that NOVA comes in late, Trump's numbers in other parts of the state were phenomenal.  He was turning light red counties from 2012 into deep red counties.  The math from what would need to come in from the late returns started to look really sketchy.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.027 seconds with 12 queries.