Would Hillary winning Arizona and Georgia end the Southern Strategy forever? (user search)
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  Would Hillary winning Arizona and Georgia end the Southern Strategy forever? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Would Hillary winning Arizona and Georgia end the Southern Strategy forever?  (Read 2815 times)
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« on: August 16, 2016, 02:43:33 PM »

Arizona is the South? I don't think AZ has ever been labled as a Southern State like say TN or AL.

Arizona isn't "The South" as such.  What it is, is the Sunbelt.  This is the band affluent suburbs stretching from North Carolina all the way to Orange County, California.  Part of what made the Southern Strategy work is that the GOP could count on suburbanites as part of a coalition to hold these states (except for Mississippi and Alabama, where they rely on winning "Old South" whites by absurd margins).

As these suburbs become more diverse and more socially liberal, the GOP is going to have a harder time keeping them in their column.  California was the first to slip away, followed by North Carolina in the 2000s.  Next comes Arizona and Georgia, followed by the granddaddy: Texas.  (MS and SC will also become swing states, but for different reasons.)

A "revised Southern Strategy" would involve ways to continue appealing to the Sunbelt.  Neither TEA Party extremism nor Trumpism is the recipe for that.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« Reply #1 on: August 17, 2016, 08:15:27 AM »

This doomsday propaganda from the left about the GOP being over occurs every cycle and its obviously not true since the GOP holds the house and senate.

The GOP holds the House thanks to gerrymandering.  The GOP holds the Senate thanks to a large number of rural states with small populations, compared to a smaller number of states with large urban populations.
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