Battleground: Wisconsin or Georgia? (user search)
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  Battleground: Wisconsin or Georgia? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which is more of a battleground?
#1
Wisconsin
 
#2
Georgia
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 87

Author Topic: Battleground: Wisconsin or Georgia?  (Read 1002 times)
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« on: June 29, 2016, 04:35:18 PM »

Nate Silver's polls-plus chance of flipping:
Wisconsin: 16.5%
Georgia: 25.7%

Nate Silver's polls-only chance of flipping:
Wisconsin: 13.8%
Georgia: 41.9%
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

« Reply #1 on: June 29, 2016, 04:50:00 PM »

In a close and competitive race, WI by a mile.

Right now, GA.

Voted WI, since I believe that the race will tighten significantly.

I think if the race is tight in GA, the race is over.  Of course, if the race is tight in WI, it is also probably over.

My personal completely unscientific wild-guess model has GA a +8 R and WI a +4 D.  In that sense, WI is much more battleground-y.  But with a Clinton lead of five points, GA is going to be a whole lot more competitive than Wisconsin.
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