What happened to Bush in WI?

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Plus there's same day registration in WI--so if he doesn't have at least a convincing 2-pt lead going into it, it's gonna be tough for Bush.

Hey, if you're in Milwaukee on Tuesday, dress like a homeless person and you could score some free cigarettes!

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

The only way Bush can win Wisconsin now is if there is a national tidalwave so the grassroots effort isn't a factor. 

There's some very good groundwork for Bush as well.  Voter pledge certificates in church bulletins and whatnot.  Note that people are only pledging to vote, not to vote for any specific candidate, as the churches aren't endorsing any particular candidate nudge nudge wink wink.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Plus there's same day registration in WI--so if he doesn't have at least a convincing 2-pt lead going into it, it's gonna be tough for Bush.

Hey, if you're in Milwaukee on Tuesday, dress like a homeless person and you could score some free cigarettes!

Hey Beef,

Weren't you once a Democrat?

As late as 1998, yes.  I voted:

Clinton in 96.
Feingold in 98.
Bush in 2000.
Libertarian against Kohl in 2000.
Ed Thompson (Libertarian for Gov.) in 2002.
Bush / Feingold in 2004.

Also in 6th Grade, I wrote "Dump George and Danny" all over my Trapper Keeper at school.

Living for 6 years in Madison will kill the Democrat in most people.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

bush +8 in wisconsin, so says gallup

If Gallop and UW-Madison say Bush is ahead outside the MoE, he must be ahead, right?  What about Lucky?  What does Lucky say?

I just don't want to lose my bet with Phillip (if either candidate wins by >5%, I have to turn my avatar red).

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Bush 53%, Kerry 47%

Just wait

Nader and Badnarik will combine for at least 1%, maybe 2%.  Perouka may get a few thousand votes as well, especially in the rural north.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

The only real concern Bush has is Wisconsin is how many votes will be counted in Milwaukee.

Will Milwaukee submit more votes than there are porsons of voting age?

They requested more ballots than there are persons of voting age.

Hmm.

Well, the post that I made from six weeks in the future is predicting an 89% turnout in Milwuakee County...

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Was he never ahead, or did his support collapse?

WI (or MN) was Bush’s backup plan in case of a loss in OH.  Without WI (or MN), Bush has to win OH….or hope for a prayer in MI.

Bush was ahead in Wisconsin for a good while even as high as 14% at one stage but the race tightened up following the debates. Could go either way now?

Bush was never up 14% in Wisconsin, except in polls conducted by stoner PoliSci undergrads.

Of course, according to Gallop, he's up 8% RIGHT NOW, so...