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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #400 on: December 18, 2016, 02:44:07 PM »

✓ Mitt Romney: 272 (48.9%)
Barack Obama: 266 (49.7%)

✓ Mitt Romney: 337 (51.7%)
Hillary Clinton: 201 (46.8%)

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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #401 on: December 21, 2016, 08:51:58 PM »

Vice Pres. Barack Obama/Sen. Tim Kaine: 273 (48.2%)
Sen. Marco Rubio/Gov. John Kasich: 265 (47.9%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #402 on: December 26, 2016, 11:12:06 AM »

Tulsi Gabbard: 51%
Andrew Cuomo: 35%
Cory Booker: 13%

Mike Pence: 55%
Cory Gardner: 38%
Nikki Haley: 6%

Tulsi Gabbard/Andrew Cuomo: 269 (48.72%)
Mike Pence/Marco Rubio: 269 (47.00%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #403 on: December 31, 2016, 05:08:37 PM »

1992: Bush Calls it Quits

After a bitter primary fight with Pat Buchanan, Vice President Dan Quayle, Senate Minority Leader Bob Dole emerges as the Republican Nominee in 1992. Despite being able to separate himself from Bush, Clinton is able to run on a message of change and is elected by one of the biggest landslides in history.
Bill Clinton/Al Gore: 430 (53.8%)
Bob Dole/Jack Kemp: 108 (44.9%)

1996: The Kid Falls Short
Misreading his electoral victory, President Clinton overreaches, delivering Republicans control of Congress in 1995. Failing to moderate, Clinton faces Colin Powell, and loses in one of the closest elections in history.
Colin Powell/Tommy Thompson: 271 (49.2%)
Bill Clinton/Al Gore: 267 (49.1%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #404 on: December 31, 2016, 07:55:14 PM »

2000: The Revolt
Elected by a thin margin, President Powell adopts a middle-way approach to governing, by appealing to Democrats and Republicans. This move proves successful with the Democrats in Congress, but backfires with the Republicans and when Powell vetoes a tax cut bill the dam breaks and there is a revolt in the Republican Party, leading to a primary challenge from the right. Powell, vexed by a disgruntled Congress and his inability to pickup the conservative mantle bows out of the Republican primary. Thompson fails to unite a divided Republican Party and loses to Paul Wellstone in a landslide.

Paul Wellstone/Ann Richards: 428 (50.4%)
Tommy Thompson/Joe Scarborough: 110 (42.1%)
Pat Buchanan/Ezola Foster: 0 (6.7%)

2004: The Liberal Order
Running as an unabashed progressive, Wellstone governs as he ran. Aided in part by Democratic victories in Congress following the 2002 Midterms, Wellstone oversees the largest expansion of the Federal Government since the Great Society. Widely popular at the time of reelection he defeats Utah Governor Mitt Romney.

Paul Wellstone/Ann Richards: 451 (57.7%)
Mitt Romney/Haley Barbour: 86 (41.0%)

2008: Camelot Returns
The resignation of Vice President Richards after her cancer diagnosis elevates New York Senator John F. Kennedy, Jr. to the Vice Presidency. He runs and wins the Democratic nomination in 2008 and despite being criticized over his inexperience, the strong economy, Wellstone's popularity and the Kennedy legacy pushes him across the finish line, beating long-time favorite Senator John McCain.

John F. Kennedy, Jr/Mike Beebe: 275 (48.8%)
John McCain/Phil Graham: 263 (48.7%)

2012: The Populist Strikes Back
President Kennedy loses both Houses of Congress to a resurgent GOP in the midterms after a backlash to his policies and playboy perception. Dogged by whispers of affairs, as well as the public yearning for a change he loses reelection to Republican Bob Ehrlich who runs a populist campaign against Kennedy and Washington.

Bob Ehrlich/Tim Pawlenty: 380 (52.9%)
John F. Kennedy, Jr./Mike Beebe: 158 (45.2%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #405 on: January 02, 2017, 12:05:16 PM »

Obama: 454 (57.1%)
Cheney: 84 (41.8%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #406 on: January 08, 2017, 10:47:44 AM »

Dr. Dean

✓ Howard Dean: 303 (50.8%)
George W. Bush: 235 (48.0%)

The Right Rx
✓ Howard Dean: 269 (48.7%)
John McCain: 269 (47.7%)
*Dean Reelected Via the House of Representatives

A Different Approach
✓ Mitt Romney: 279 (49.1%)
John Edwards: 259 (48.8%)

A Destiny Fulfilled
✓ Hillary Clinton: 376 (47.1%)
Mitt Romney: 162 (38.5%)
Mike Huckabee: 0 (12.5%)

The Iron Lady
✓ Hillary Clinton: 435 (55.2%)
Sarah Palin: 103 (42.9%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #407 on: January 17, 2017, 12:11:58 AM »

Dashed and Realized Hopes
Hillary Clinton: 285 (49.5%)
Marco Rubio: 253 (48.4%)

The Renewal
Nikki Haley: 283 (50.3%)
Tim Kaine: 255 (47.9%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #408 on: January 18, 2017, 06:26:53 PM »

The Pitchfork Brigade
✓ Sarah Palin: 270 (47.5%)
Barack Obama: 268 (48.1%)

Return of the Average Joes

✓ Joe Biden: 369 (51.7%)
Sarah Palin: 169 (44.2%)

The Circle is Complete
✓ Joe Biden: 458 (58.5%)
Tagg Romney: 80 (40.0%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #409 on: January 21, 2017, 06:31:18 PM »

Donald Trump: 351 (51%)
Elizabeth Warren: 187 (47%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #410 on: January 22, 2017, 02:53:28 PM »

✓ Hillary Clinton: 307 (50.0%)
Donald Trump: 231 (48.1%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #411 on: January 23, 2017, 01:12:08 PM »

✓ President Elizabeth Warren: 53.1%
Senator Ted Cruz: 40.9%
Senator Rand Paul: 4.0%
Other: 2.0%
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #412 on: January 24, 2017, 08:06:11 PM »

Winnable

✓ Governor Mitt Romney: 302 (50.7%)
Senator Hillary Clinton: 236 (48.0%)

Change
Governor Barack Obama: 269 (49.4%)
President Mitt Romney: 269 (48.6%)

Audacity
President Barack Obama: 285 (50.5%)
Governor Mike Pence: 253 (47.9%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #413 on: January 29, 2017, 04:34:57 PM »


Mike Pence: 991 (40.0%) 18 States Won + DC, AS, GU: 21 Total Contests Won
Ted Cruz: 789 (36.9%) 17 States Won: 17 Total Contests Won
Justin Amash: 511 (21.2%) 15 States + PR, U.S. VI: 18 Total Contests Won
* Brokered Convention: Mike Pence Nominated for President.


✓ Elizabeth Warren: 2,562 (50.9%) 27 States Won + PR, D.C., DA: 30 Total Contests Won
Tammy Baldwin: 1,321 (33.2%) 15 States Won + GU, U.S. VI: 17 Total Contests Won
Cory Booker: 711 (13.9%) 7 States Won: 7 Total Contests Won [/color
Amy Klobuchar: 56 (1.4%) 1 State Won: 1 Total Contest Won


✓ Elizabeth Warren/Roy Cooper: 293 (49.0%)
   Mike Pence/John Kasich: 245 (47.9%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #414 on: January 30, 2017, 06:43:21 PM »


✓ Robert Kennedy/Edmund Muskie: 281 (43.1%)
Richard Nixon/Spiro Agnew: 212 (42.9%)
George Wallace/Curtis LeMay: 45 (13.5%)


✓ Robert Kennedy/Edmund Muskie: 526 (55.1%)
Nelson Rockefeller/Robert Dole: 66 (32.6%)
John Ashbrook/Jesse Helms: (11.3%)


✓ Ronald Reagan/Richard Schweiker: 288 (49.5%)
Edmund Muskie/Jimmy Carter: 250 (49.3%)


✓ Ronald Reagan/Richard Schweiker: 366 (52.0%)
Jimmy Carter/Ted Kennedy: 172 (46.7%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #415 on: February 05, 2017, 12:44:07 PM »

The Nastiest Campaign, Ever

✓ President Donald Trump: Republican Nominee (57.5%)
Senator Ben Sasse: Withdrew in April 2020 (30.9%)
Governor John Kasich: Withdrew in March 2020 (10.5%)
Other: (1.9%)

✓ Former First Lady Michelle Obama: Democratic Nominee, Nominated at DNC (44.0%)
Representative Tulsi Gabbard: Withdrew at Convention 2020 (42.8%)
Governor Andrew Cuomo: Withdrew March 2020 (5.5%)
Senator Cory Booker: Withdrew February 2020 (3.0%)
Senator Tammy Baldwin: Withdrew March 2020 (1.9%)
Senator Elizabeth Warren: Withdrew February 2020 (1.8%)
Other: (0.9%)
Senator Al Franken: Withdrew February 2020 (0.01%)
Senator Kirsten Gillibrand: Withdrew November 2019 (0.0%)


✓ Former First Lady Michelle Obama/Governor Gavin Newsom: 326 (50.1%)
President Donald Trump/Vice President Michael Pence: 212 (46.9%)
Other: 0 (3.0%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #416 on: February 06, 2017, 03:10:43 PM »

1968: Divided Country, Divided Party
✓ Richard Nixon: 394 (45.5%)
Hubert Humphrey: 97 (35.5%)
George Wallace: 45 (12.0%)
Eugene McCarthy: 2 (5.9%)

1972: Mission: ReElect Nixon
✓ Richard Nixon: 521 (60.7%)
Hubert Humphrey: 17 (37.5%)

1976: Oh Camelot, How I've Missed Thy
✓ Robert F. Kennedy: 272 (49.0%)
George Romney: 266 (49.1%)

1980: Win One For the Gipper
✓ Ronald Reagan: 359 (51.9%)
Robert F. Kennedy: 179 (47.2%)

1984: Win One More for the Gipper
✓ Ronald Reagan: 535 (62.4%)
Jesse Jackson: 3 (35.8%)

1988: Battle of the Northeast
✓ Jack Kemp: 473 (56.0%)
Michael Dukakis: 65 (42.8%)

1992: Close, but No Cigar
✓ Jack Kemp: 295 (50.4%)
Bill Clinton: 243 (48.1%)

1996: New York State of Mind
✓ Mario Cuomo: 301 (51.1%)
John McCain: 237 (46.4%)

2000: Staying the Course
✓ Mario Cuomo: 329 (52.3%)
Mike Huckabee: 209 (45.0%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #417 on: February 08, 2017, 08:45:37 AM »

A timeline I'm working on, but here's a sneak peek:
Elizabeth Warren: 26 Delegates (31.4%)
George Clooney: 26 Delegates (29.5%)
Cory Booker: 14 Delegates (28.3%)
Tulsi Gabbard: 2 Delegates (9.3%)
Other: 0 (1.5%)

Donald Trump: 53 (82.0%)
Justin Amash: 0 (17.9%
Other: 0 (0.1%)

Logged
NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #418 on: February 20, 2017, 09:18:47 PM »

Matt Santos: 272 (49%)
Arnold Vinick: 266 (50%)

Glenn Allen Walken: 310 (53%)
Matt Santos: 228 (46%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #419 on: February 20, 2017, 09:34:25 PM »

Yes
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #420 on: March 04, 2017, 04:12:37 PM »

✓ Gov. Romney/Gov. Reagan: 334 (42.2%)
Vice Pres. Humphrey/Sen. Muskie: 151 (41.4%)
Gov. Wallace/Ret. General LeMay: 53 (15.4%)

✓ Pres. Romney/Vice Pres. Reagan: 535 (62.1%)
Sen. McGovern/Sen. Eagleton: (35.7%)
Other: 0 (2.2%) 

✓ Vice Pres. Reagan/Rep. Ford: 405 (53.0%)
Sen. Gore/Sen. Mondale: (44.4%)
Other: 0 (2.6%) 

✓ Sen. Kennedy/Gov. Carter: 274 (49.0%)
Pres. Reagan/Vice Pres. Ford: 264 (49.7%)
Other: 0 (1.3%) 

✓ Sen. Bush/Sen. Dole: 440 (55.1%)
Pres. Kennedy/Vice Pres. Carter: (43.0%)
Other: 0 (2.8%) 

✓ Pres. Bush/ Vice Pres. Dole: 482 (58.6%)
Gov. Cuomo/Gov. Clinton: 56 (40.0%)
Other: 0 (1.4%) 

✓ Sen. Bentsen/Gov. Dukakis: 357 (40.9%)
Vice Pres. Dole/Sec. Kemp: 144 (34.8%)
Businessman Perot/Ret. General Stockdale: 37 (22.9%) 

✓ Pres. Bentsen/Dukakis: 324 (51.0%)
Gov. Rumsfeld/Rep. Cheney: 214 (47.5%)
Other: 0 (1.5%) 

✓ Businessman Trump/Ret. General Powell: 310 (39.7%)
Sen. Romney/Gov. Huckabee: 117 (32.2%)
Vice Pres. Dukakis/Sen. Feinstein: 111 (27.0%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #421 on: March 15, 2017, 01:15:33 PM »

Senator John Kerry: 284 (49.4%)
President George W. Bush: 254 (49.3%)

Mayor Rudolph Giuliani: 415 (54.1%)
President John Kerry: 123 (44.0%)

President Rudolph Giuliani: 367 (52.0%)
Senator Hillary Clinton: 171 (46.7%)

Governor Barack Obama: 304 (50.1%)
Vice President Mitt Romney: 234 (48.4%)

President Barack Obama: 438 (55.9%)
Governor Rick Perry: 100 (42.7%)
Logged
NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #422 on: March 26, 2017, 02:18:00 PM »

Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton/Senator Barack Obama: 360 (53.1%)
Senator John McCain/Governor Tim Pawlenty: 178 (45.0%)

President Hillary Rodham Clinton/Vice President Barack Obama: 272 (50.3%)
Governor Mitt Romney/Governor Bob McDonnell: 266 (48.5%)

Vice President Barack Obama/Senator Sherrod Brown: 283 (49.2%)
Governor Bob McDonnell/Governor Sarah Palin: 255 (48.9%)

President Barack Obama/Vice President Sherrod Brown: 403 (40.2%)
Senator Charlie Crist/Governor Rick Perry: 64 (28.5%)
Congressman Keith Ellison/Dr. Jill Stein: 36 (14.8%)
Senator Rand Paul/Senator Mike Lee: 34 (15.6%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #423 on: March 29, 2017, 10:24:23 PM »

✓ Mitt Romney/Marco Rubio: 276 (48.9%)
Barack Obama/Joe Biden: 262 (49.0%)

✓ Mitt Romney/Marco Rubio: 355 (51.8%)
John Kerry/Tim Kaine: 183 (44.0%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #424 on: March 31, 2017, 11:13:01 PM »

✓ Michael Dukakis: 272 (49.5%)
George Bush: 266 (49.4%)
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