2004 Presidential Election and Beyond: The Giuliani Years (GAME THREAD) (user search)
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  2004 Presidential Election and Beyond: The Giuliani Years (GAME THREAD) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2004 Presidential Election and Beyond: The Giuliani Years (GAME THREAD)  (Read 156257 times)
NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #300 on: August 27, 2014, 08:09:12 PM »

Bad Night to be an Incumbent!

Republicans: Both moderates and conservatives alike felt the wrath of voters in primaries, with many incumbents being tossed out. In Massachusetts, former Governor Bill Weld soundly defeated incumbent Kerry Healey and now is poised to take on Democrat Deval Patrick in the fall. In Alabama, incumbent Governor Bob Reilly also fell to a primary challenger, losing to Alabama state judge Roy Moore. In Alaska, newcomer and Mayor of the town of Wasilla, Sarah Palin ousted embattled Governor Frank Murkowski.

In the race to fill Vice President Hutchison's old seat, Congressman Ron Paul who ran for his House seat in 2004 on the Libertarian Ballot and won, secured the Republican Nomination, defeating one time favorite Bill Ritter. But, perhaps the biggest upset came in Pennsylvania with incumbent Senator Rick Santorum losing his primary to former Governor and Homeland Security Director Tom Ridge. Santorum, who originally looked to face an uphill battle against Bob Casey in November, now clears the way for a competitive race with Ridge. Latest polls show a dead heat between the two, with 47 percent for Ridge and 46 percent for Casey.

In the New York Republican Primary, Donald Trump routed his Republican opponent and will now face Democratic nominee Eliot Spitzer in what is expected to be a costly race. Polls show a narrow lead for Spitzer, but Trump ever the showman proclaimed at his victory speech that "I will defeat Spitzer, make no doubts about it. You can write it down."

The midterms, are shaping up to a good year for the Republicans. Generally, midterms tend to bode poorly for the incumbent party, but President Giuliani's handling of the Iraq War, coupled with his dealings with the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina have boasted not only his approval ratings (57 percent), but the Republican brand as well. While some pundits expect a possible challenge from the Right for Giuliani in 2008, given the Anti-incumbent sentiment fused in the midterm primaries, most analysts believe no candidate will topple the President. "He's not vulnerable like George H.W. in 1992. He's kept his word and is leading the country in the right direction." -- Karl Rove. Early trial heats against the three frontrunners for the Democratic nomination put Giuliani in a strong position heading into 2008. While most pundits expect his numbers to come down, Rove suggest, "the fact he is beating Clinton by almost ten and Edwards and Lincoln by double digits should give the Democrats pause for concern. They don't have a candidate to beat the President, or even mount a serious challenge at this point!" Polls consistently show Edwards and Clinton as the strongest against Giuliani, while former Vice Presidential Nominee Blanche Lincoln tends to fair the worst.


Hypothetical 2008 Presidential Election Poll: Circa 2006 (Clinton, Edwards, Lincoln)

Rudy Giuliani: 52% (+8)
Hillary Clinton: 44%

Rudy Giuliani: 53% (+11)
John Edwards: 42%

Rudy Giuliani: 55% (+15)
Blanche Lincoln: 40%


Logged
NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #301 on: August 27, 2014, 09:40:16 PM »

Recount in Pennsylvania


Santorum Campaign Request Recount in Senate Primary

Results from Primary: 100% Reported (Difference: 0.14%)
√ Tom Ridge: 50.07%
Rick Santorum: 49.93%



9:00 am EST Recount, Pennsylvania Secretary of State's Office

Pennsylvania Recount: <1% Recounted (Difference 2.02%)
Tom Ridge: 51.01%
Rick Santorum: 48.99%

9:10 am EST ≈15% Recounted (Difference 1.50%)
Tom Ridge: 50.75%
Rick Santorum: 49.25%

9:37 am EST ≈27% Recounted (Difference 1.34%)
Tom Ridge: 50.67%
Rick Santorum: 49.33%

9:59 am EST ≈39% Recounted (Difference 0.62%)
Tom Ridge: 50.31%
Rick Santorum: 49.69%

10:14 am EST ≈66% Recounted (Difference 0.32%)
Tom Ridge: 50.16%
Rick Santorum: 49.84%

10:31 am EST ≈84% Recounted (Difference 0.18%)
Tom Ridge: 50.09%
Rick Santorum: 49.91%

10:44 am EST ≈94% Recounted (Difference 0.12%)
Tom Ridge: 50.06%
Rick Santorum: 49.94%

10:54 am EST ≈97% Recounted (Difference 0.06%)
Tom Ridge: 50.03%
Rick Santorum: 49.97%

10:56 am EST ≈98% Recounted (Difference 0.04%)
Tom Ridge: 50.02%
Rick Santorum: 49.98%

Breaking News: PA Senate Recount Ridge in the Lead

Nearly 100% of the recount completed and at the current count Former Pennsylvania Governor Tom Ridge holds the narrowest of leads over incumbent Senator Rick Santorum. The latest number put Ridge with 50.02 percent, and Santorum with 49.98 percent; the difference 0.04%. The first recount was requested by the Santorum campaign, but given Pennsylvania state law which requires a recount to occur with a result totaling less than 0.5 percent.

No word yet from either the Ridge or Santorum Campaigns.

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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #302 on: August 27, 2014, 09:49:42 PM »

Alabama Gubernatorial Election Poll: (R+11)
Roy Moore: 54%
Lucy Baxley: 43%

Texas Senatorial Election Poll: (R+10)
Ron Paul: 54%
Barbara Ann Radnofsky: 44%

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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #303 on: August 27, 2014, 09:52:44 PM »

BREAKING NEWS:
TOM RIDGE DECLARED WINNER IN PA GOP PRIMARY RECOUNT



PA Republican Primary: 100% Recounted (Difference: 0.04%)
√ Tom Ridge: 50.02%
Rick Santorum: 49.98%

Pennsylvania Senatorial Election Poll: (R+1)
Tom Ridge: 47%
Bob Casey: 46%
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #304 on: August 27, 2014, 10:21:24 PM »

2006 Midterms: Generic Ballot (R+4)

Republicans: 49%
Democrats: 45%

Current Numbers; Congress

Senate:
Republicans: 53
Democrats: 46
Independents: 1

House:
Republicans: 230
Democrats: 201
Libertarian: 2
Green: 1
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #305 on: August 28, 2014, 06:16:45 AM »


There will be the one independent, but Democratic nominee is Laura miller
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #306 on: August 28, 2014, 07:01:27 PM »

Reminder this round closes tonight. Round 3 will take place until September 2007 and from there we'll start the 08 part of the game.

I'll start taking submissions for candidates as of tomorrow.

Thanks everyone
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #307 on: August 28, 2014, 07:32:44 PM »

Absolutely.
Once we complete this round, candidate recruitment and the new game thread will be started.

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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #308 on: August 28, 2014, 11:01:06 PM »

Round III: The Giuliani Years (Midterms, January 2007-September 2007)


Heading into another year of the Giuliani Administration, and the 2008 Presidential Election is already begun. Candidates are starting to test the waters, including those on the right (Bob Smith and Jim DeMint) who may challenge the President for the Republican Nomination. No official word from either camps, but as the year ticks on, more names will emerge and candidacies will be declared. 2006 saw the Midterms, an often difficult showing for the incumbent party, but Giuliani's strong approval ratings over the handling of Hurricane Katrina in 2005 and the welcome news of the successful Surge in Iraq, the President sits comfortably with an average 55 percent approval rating to start out the new year.

Democrats in an attempt to mire the Administration in scandal and tie Giuliani to corruption, went after him over his actions involving green energy, with some going as so far to call it unconstitutional and exceeding his authority. The President has dismissed the charges by Democrats and at a Press Conference, prior to the November election addressed the matter. "In all seriousness, no. Those people who are upset about the Department of Energy pursuing other forms of energy other than oil, are just trying to make names for themselves. Isn't it the job of the Department of Energy to research and invest in energy production? We're not raising taxes to provide these alternative energy grants, we're taking a small portion of funds already set aside for the DoE and using it for a different purpose. I don't need Congressional Approval to do this. The President is given the power to issue Executive Orders to regulate the functioning of the Executive Branch of the Federal Government. By telling Secretary Domenici how to spend the money that Congress granted the DoE in the budget, I'm just doing my job."

The President also made 2 appointments to the Supreme Court. First by making Anthony Kennedy, the new Chief Justice (replacing William Rehnquist) along with John Roberts, who replaced Sandra Day O'Connor and Orin Hatch who succeeded Anthony Kennedy. All nominations were approved without delay by the United States Senate.

The Midterm Election season was one for the books, with many incumbents being ousted in primaries. One of the most notable being Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, who lost to former governor Tom Ridge in a narrow election. Heading into the Election Republican held majorities in both the House and the Senate and historically were projected to lose a few seats, but the strong approval ratings of the President, as well as the booming economy and success in Iraq, gave the Democrats with very little to run on. Though, the results could hardly be described a landslide, but more of a moderate success for the incumbent party. 2006 was the best showing for an incumbent party since 1998, interestingly when Bill Clinton was serving his second term and mired in the Lewinsky Scandal. Though it wasn't a complete loss for Democrats, they did win the keys to a few Governor's Mansions and and scored a few Senate seats.


Gubernatorial Elections: 2006 (Excerpt)
Alabama: Republican Hold
√ (R) Roy Moore: 55.6%
(D) Lucy Baxley: 44.4%

Alaska: Republican Hold
√ (R) Sarah Palin: 50.0%
(D) Tony Knowles: 39.5%
(L) Andrew Halcro: 7.7%
Other: 2.8%

Arkansas: Republican Hold
√ (R) Asa Hutchinson: 50.1%
(D) Mike Beebe: 49.3%

Arizona: Democratic Hold
√ (D) Janet Napolitano: 62.0%
(R) Len Munsill: 35.9%

California: Republican Hold
√ (R) Arnold Schwarzengger: 59.1%
(D) Phil Angelides: 35.9%

Colorado: Democrat Gain
√ (D) Bill Ritter: 52.8%
(R) Bob Beauprez: 46.1%

Connecticut: Republican Hold
√ (R) Jodi Rell: 68.9%
(D) John DeStefano: 27.5%
(G) Clifford Thornton: 3.6%

Florida: Republican Hold
√ (R) Charlie Crist: 50.3%
(D) Jim Davis: 44.8%
(L) John Wayne Smith: 4.8%

Idaho: Republican Hold
√ (R) C.L. Butch Otter: 54.0%
(D) Jerry Brandy: 42.9%
(L) Ted Dunlap: 3.1%

Massachusetts: Democratic Gain
√ (D) Deval Patrick: 47.4%
(D) Bill Weld: 46.9%
(I) Christy Mihos: 4.7%

Minnesota: Republican Hold
√ (R) Tim Pawlenty: 50.5%
(D) Mike Hatch: 47.3%

Other: 2.2%

New York: Republican Hold
√ (R) Donald Trump: 51.0%
(D) Eliot Spitzer: 47.1%

Ohio: Democratic Pickup
√ (D) Ted Strickland: 51.8%
(R) Ken Blackwell: 47.0%

Maryland: Republican Hold
√ (R) Bob Ehrich: 50.5%
Martin O'Malley: 49.4%

Maine: Republican Gain
√ (R) Peter Mills: 35.5%
(D) John Baldacci: 32.1%
(I) Barbara Merrill: 29.4%

Oregon: Democratic Hold
√ (D) Ted Kulongoski: 50.7%
(R) Ron Saxton: 45.9%
Other: 3.4%

Wisconsin: Democratic Hold
√ (D) Jim Doyle: 49.7%
(R) Mark Green: 48.9%

Republicans: 28
Democrats: 22

Senatorial Elections: 2006 (Snapshot)
Connecticut Senatorial Election: Democratic Hold
√ (D) Ned Lamont: 49.61%
(R) Alan Schlesinger: 49.46%

Maryland Senatorial Election: Republican Gain
√ (R) Michael Steele: 49.7%
Ben Cardin: 49.0%

Minnesota Senatorial Election: Independent Pickup
√ (I) Jesse Ventura: 38.9%
(D) Amy Klobuchar: 31.1%
(R) Mark Kennedy: 29.0%

Missouri Senatorial Election: Republican Hold
√ (R) Jim Talent: 50.3%
(D) Claire McCaskill: 48.7%

Montana Senatorial Election: Democratic Gain
√ (D) Jon Tester: 49.12%
(D) Conrad Burns: 49.07%

New Jersey Senatorial Election: Republican Gain
√ (R) Thomas Kean, Jr: 49.30%
(D) Bob Menendez: 49.05%

Ohio Senatorial Election: Democratic Gain
√ (D) Sherrod Brown: 50.4%
(R) Mike DeWine: 47.3%

Pennsylvania Senatorial Election: Republican Hold
√ (R) Tom Ridge: 50.4%
(D) Bob Casey: 48.7%
Other: 2.2%

Rhode Island Senatorial Election: Republican Hold
√ (R) Lincoln Chaffee: 48.5%
(D) Sheldon Whitehouse: 47.9%
Other: 3.6%

Tennessee Senatorial Election: Republican Hold
√ (D) Bob Corker 50.8%
(D) Harold Ford, Jr.: 47.9%

Texas Senatorial Election: Republican Hold
√ (R) Ron Paul: 50.9%
(D) Barbara Ann Radnofsky: 48.0%

Virginia Senatorial Election: Republican Hold
√ (R) George Allen: 51.5%
(D) Jim Webb: 47.5%

Vermont Senatorial Election: Indepndent Gain
√ (I) Bernie Sanders: 56.9%
(R) Richard Tarrant: 43.1%
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #309 on: August 28, 2014, 11:03:07 PM »


√ Republican: 52
Democrat: 46
Independent: 2

House of Representatives: 2006 Midterms
√ Republicans: 225 (-6)
Democrats: 206 (+7)
Green: 1


This round will close on Tuesday at 11:59 pm EST
This round will take the game through September 2007, so starting today I will take candidate requests. Round IV will begin with the primaries circa September 2007.

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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #310 on: August 29, 2014, 08:31:52 AM »

I will be opening up a second thread for the 2008 portion.
Senator Lumie will be playing Tom Vislack
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NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


« Reply #311 on: August 29, 2014, 07:48:01 PM »

I am going to close this thread and open a new one for 2008. Sign in will be there

Great job everyone! I'm looking forward to seeing where this goes!
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