Early signs on election night.

[timothyinMD]

If either Indiana or Kentucky isn't called quickly for Mitt Romney... Republicans might as well turn to the old-movies channel. 

Bull.  sh**t.   The media always call states late for Republicans.  It's their MO.   In 2004 they waited over an hour to call SC, LA and MS for Bush when everyone knew damn well he'd won them, yet they called NJ for Kerry upon close when he won it by just half the margin Bush won those states

[timothyinMD]

If the first states KY and IN are not called right away, Romney is toast.

They will be, so don't worry.  It's not a conspiracy theory, it's true.

Election 2000

Ariz, Bush by 7 CNN took 2 hrs, 51 mins
Mich, Gore by 4, CNN took just 1 hr, 24

Arkansas, Bush by 6, CNN took 3 hrs, 42 mins
Penn, Gore by 4, CNN too 1 hr, 24 mins

Tennessee, Bush by 3, CNN took 3 hrs, 3 mins
Minnesota, Gore by 2, CNN too 1 hr, 25 mins

West Virginia, Bush by 6, CNN took 3 hours, 15 mins
Washington, Gore by 5, CNN took 1 hr, 8 mins..


Shall I go on?

[timothyinMD]

Election 2004:

Connecticut, Kerry by 10, NBC calls immediately
Arizona, Bush by 10, NBC waits 1 hour, 42 mins

New Jersey, Kerry by 7, NBC calls immediately
Missouri, Bush by 7, NBC waits 2 hours, 16 mins


The whole night Brokaw and Russert acted pro Kerry.  Sometime around between 7:30 and 8, Brokaw said.. "oh it's unusual that we can't call SC yet.  That doesn't bode well for Bush" 

Then when they called Ohio for Bush, they refused to call the election for Bush, even though Kerry had no chance.. and they kept undermining their own call saying.. "Well the Kerry people have the right to have every vote counted before they concede"

Typical NBC

[timothyinMD]

Its pretty egregious that they didn't call SC, MS, and LA immediately.  Kerry had ZERO chance there.

As for the media "having a hard time believing" Gore couldn't win Tennessee, polls showing Bush leading should have been a clue

[timothyinMD]

What percentage is Mittens projected in Indiana is the earliest sign. If it is 55% or above, that is a good sign for him. If less, that is a bad sign.

They may not call it right away because of what happened last time, but Obama's approval is in the gutter in Indiana (38%).  Romney will be campaigning there this week.  Obama has not a chance in hell of winning it again