UK parliamentary boundary review

[joevsimp]

What is the most Conservative seat in the country under these new boundaries?

I mean the place with the best Tory fundamentals - cause voting patterns are a bit more fluid - is still the rural parts of the east. Particularly Lincolnshire, Essex, and almost everything (not Cambridge) in between. The boundaries weren't ever going to change so drastically that seats were not comparable to their previous iterations.

My guess is South Lincolnshire, the successor to South Holland & the Deepings.

Second highest was Saffron Walden (and was highest in the past) I think which has lost suburbs of Chelmsford (and some lib Dems voters) and gained a fairly rural and conservative chunk of Epping Forest instead. Might tip it slightly higher than South Linc's but then again might not

[joevsimp]

Seems like good news in general for the greens - Sheffield Central and Bristol West shrinking to cores (the latter is now renamed to Central), as well as a smaller Stroud and the new Isle of Wight seat, both of which could be winnable for them in a good year.

Possibly too much to hope for with the latter two but Sheffield and Bristol definitely look like two horse races between Labour and Greens. Will be interesting if any pacts emerge (as much as I hate to be speculating on that this early)

Brighton Pavillion also essentially unchanged whereas the cancelled 2013 and 2018 reviews produced seats that werenotionally projected for Labour but very much still green leaning once you considered the particular wards being moved