The generic ballot is not good for the Senate, but historically has been a good indicator for the House.
Flat out just plain wrong.
The Dems led in the "generic" ballot in 1996, 1998, 2000, and 2002 prior to the actual elections. It was basically even in 2004.
The GOP had House majorities in each of these election cycles.
Granted, the gap by which the Dems lead the GOP on the "generic" ballot is larger than before (I do expect the Dems will barely retake the House BTW) but to suggest the Generic ballot is historically predictive and meaningful is simply inconsistent with reality.
Generic ballot is good indicator if polling likely voters. Not so much for registered voters. Need to check polls to see who is being polled.
Still wrong.
The problem is people live in different districts. The dems can easily win the nationwide vote in congress while still failing to regain control of the House.
