Axis wins WWII

[ATFFL]

The US, where support for the UK had been brewing during May would probably focus more closely on the Pacific, would enter the war, but would not pay much attention to the European theatre. Cue the Soviets, who would still have been invaded in 1941; I can see them 'liberating' Europe almost single handedly.

Them and what material?  If the US is not supplying them through lend-lease, the Soviets will lack for a lot of things.

[ATFFL]

The US, where support for the UK had been brewing during May would probably focus more closely on the Pacific, would enter the war, but would not pay much attention to the European theatre. Cue the Soviets, who would still have been invaded in 1941; I can see them 'liberating' Europe almost single handedly.

Them and what material?  If the US is not supplying them through lend-lease, the Soviets will lack for a lot of things.

The US would probably still supply them. The US would declare war on Japan in December 41 and Germany would, as in reality, also declare war on the US. The US would still be on the same side as the USSR, but have less interest in Europe without the UK being part of the equation.

In that case the US would not be giving the stuff away.  They would probably want something in return.