1. Absolutely not, he is a flip flopper on immigration and border security, along with being a very weak debater. If he ever rises to some prominence, he’d be skewered by attack ads of which he’ll have no effective counterattacks.
2. Andrew Yang needs to get middle class liberals to like him, effectively the base of the Democratic Party, while polling well with African Americans and Latinos. The issue is that he has no credentials to sway any group apart from millennial coders and edgy youth looking for a grand. Most likely he’ll be pulling from Elizabeth Warren and Biden.
3. He would lose badly. Again, the man has no ability to excite people, nor is he an effective debater. Expect a Trump landslide unless he works his chops off.
1. Fair point on flip-flopping, but he’s not as shameless as Biden and if he can match his rivals in fundraising (I doubt it) then I think he could get effective counterpunches on the airwaves. Yang has always emphasized that he is a candidate who “listens” as much as talks, so I’m sure he’s smart enough to pull a “I have evolved after seeing the matter first hand” type excuse out of his ass. I think he could hold his weight here.
2. Yang could cut into the middle class liberals as Biden collapses and Bernie/Warren drift left. The main obstacle here is Mayor Pete. Yang isn’t well known enough or politically established enough to have broad support from outside his “base” but he could easily place second to Biden among minority voters if the final four is Biden/Warren/Pete/Yang. All Yang really needs to do is be the last one standing against Warren somehow, which is very, very, very unlikely....at least this time.
3. I think he wins, personally. He addresses the realities that got Trump elected in an understanding way rather than blaming the moral characters of the voters themselves. That’s a big deal. That’s the reason why the best Democratic candidates are Warren/Yang/Bernie and not the Biden/Booker/Kamala types. Yang may seem like a milquetoast candidate in comparison to Trump, but who else are they going to vote for if Trump is so offensive to them.
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