Post 5 (or more) predictions for the year 2014 (user search)
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  Post 5 (or more) predictions for the year 2014 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post 5 (or more) predictions for the year 2014  (Read 2133 times)
Atlas Has Shrugged
ChairmanSanchez
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,095
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.29, S: -5.04


« on: December 29, 2013, 10:08:04 PM »

*GOP holds House, Democrats retain Senate.
*Terrorist attempt to attack Sochi, though the plot is disrupted before it gets out of the discussion phase.
*Opebo is banned, forum reaction mixed.
*Civil war continues in Syria.
*Fidel Castro, Queen Elizabeth, and Pete Seeger still alive on January 1st, 2015.
*North Korea continues to prickwave.
*Israel doesn't bomb Iran.
*2014 remains rough for Obama, but better than 2013 as the GOP will provide ample gaffes for the administration to play off of.
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Atlas Has Shrugged
ChairmanSanchez
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,095
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.29, S: -5.04


« Reply #1 on: December 30, 2013, 10:14:56 AM »

1) Governor John Kasich will lose re-election to Ed FitzGerald after voter backlash from the restrictive voting bills signed into law in early 2014 and high unemployment resulting in Kasich no longer considered as a GOP Presidential hopeful in 2016. Ohio Democrats pick up a few seats in the State House of Reps. as well. Democrats also make other big gubernatorial gains in FL, PA, ME, KS, GA, MI, and WI while losing AR.

2) Republicans will narrowly hold the House after losing a net of 10 seats mostly from vacancies and unpopular GOPers in Atlasian red states while Democrats hold the Senate only losing a net of 2 seats in SD, WV and AR while winning GA.

3) Boehner refuses to allow a vote on unemployment benefits, raising the minimum wage, passing comprehensive immigration reform, background checks, or allow a vote on the ENDA while Republicans in the Senate put the nation on the brink of economic collapse in February. This puts Democratic hopes in the midterms back into play and another high lead on the generic ballot.

4) Prince Philip of Edinburgh dies at the age of 93.

5) After consistently low ratings at MSNBC, they hire back Keith Olbermann and give him the 8 o'clock slot while moving Chris Hayes to the 4 o'clock hour.

6) Hillary will declare late in 2014 that she will not run for President making Biden the Democratic forerunner.

7) Mitch Landrieu announces he will run for Louisiana Governor in 2015.

Cool President Obama reaches his goal of 7,000,000 people enrolled in the federal exchange and the overall public opinion on the new health care law finally gets a majority approval.

lol Almost all of this is BS.
How so? And it's not exactly completely optimistic for Democrats or else I would have said something like "Dems will take back the House under Nancy Pelosi while Dems will pick up a net gain of 1 seat in the Senate." When referring to Congress and it's awful approval, people hate both the House and the Senate and voters will blame the majority leaders of both parties for that.

With the Governorships, come on, it's already pretty well-known that Dems. will pick up several Governor Mansions, but to make it an out of the blue prediction, I added a few in there that might be hard for Democrats to get like Georgia, but are definitely possible when there's awful GOP candidates and quality Dem. candidates like Jason Carter.
Montana will have the power of incumbency though in that election. Assuming Bullock picks Walsh, that will give Walsh the opportunity to build name recognition and a favorable voting record among Montanans. Daines would still have a shot, but do you remember the last time a Republican MT Rep. ran against a Democratic MT Senator? (Denny Rehberg).

I respect your predictions, but they are too optimistic for the democrats. I mean, republicans don't pick up Montana (Senate)? Republicans lose house seats? Republicans put the country on the brink of an economic collapse and democrats lead heavily in polls? Democrats pick up Kansas and Georgia (Governors)? Obamacare gets 7 million enrollers even though its proven no to be waaaay behind where it should be in enrollment numbers? And lastly, Keith Olbermann gets back on MSNBC because of bad ratings? He was the reason they had low ratings! I'm sorry, but to me all of this is too optimistic. 
Montana will have the power of incumbency though in that election. Assuming Bullock picks Walsh, that will give Walsh the opportunity to build name recognition and get a favorable voting record among Montanans. Daines will still have a shot, but the last time a MT Republican Rep. ran against a MT Democratic Senator, the challenger (Denny Rehberg) lost. With the House, the GOP probably won't anymore than 6-8 Democratic seats while Democrats will be able to get big wins in NJ, NY, CA, VA, IA, MI, OH, CO, and a lot of other vulnerable seats as PPP shows. And never underestimate the current GOP. Boehner may have grew a spine, but there's still the Senate Republicans, McConnell and most likely Cruz, Lee, Rubio and a few others are ready to go at it again and I just don't see unemployment benefits getting passed either when the current Congress can't even keep the govt open. For the Democratic leads, ABC already has then up 2 and they'll continue to gain back their high ballot leads as more people start really liking the ACA as Repubs. continue to be ineffective. With Kansas and Georgia, while they're regular GOP Presidential holds, they are elastic when it comes to Governor races and polls suggest they will vote in Davis and Carter respectively because of how much they hate their GOP incumbents. And because President Obama usually stays true to his promises, I think he can reach 7 million because he's more than 1/7th of the way there and has another full year to get just another 6 million enrolled in the exchange. If 1 million enroll in 1 month, then that other 6 million should be able to come close to 6 months. As for Olbermann, he was very controversial and could drive the nerves of conservatives straight up so if he returned, the liberal base would be happy to come out big and start all watching MSNBC again. The main problem now is we have Chris Matthews who is really pissing liberals off with some of his recent statements and we have Joe Scarborough of all people. So it might be a little optimistic for Democrats, but 2013 showed Democrats can do well still even when there's a Democrat in the White House.
You sound like a Romney supporter on November 5th, 2012. Except Romney supporters didn't think they could defeat Diane Feinstein randomly in the same way you think Sam Brownback is going to be defeated.
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Atlas Has Shrugged
ChairmanSanchez
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,095
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.29, S: -5.04


« Reply #2 on: December 30, 2013, 03:42:13 PM »

Well, Adam, it looks like Sarah Kliff agrees with you. And she would know; since October she's been covering all things healthcare.gov for WashPo.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/post/obamacare-just-might-net-its-7-million-sign-ups/2013/12/30/e33c2784-716a-11e3-bc6b-712d770c3715_blog.html?wpmk=MK0000205

Sorry Sanchez
I was not talking about the Obamacare prediction. I was talking about his hackish fantasies about 2014.

Sorry Badgate.
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