New Tradesports rankings

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Huckabee has a large gain at Romney's expense.

Democrats
Clinton 67.7
Obama 22.3
Edwards 5.6
Gore 3.8
Richardson 0.5
Biden 0.3
Dodd 0.1


Republicans
Giuliani 42.8
Romney 21.8
Huckabee 16.4
McCain 7.3
Thompson 5.1
Paul 5.1
Rice 1.6
Gingrich 0.3

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The black man and the hillbilly are on the move.

The matchup would be interesting. I'd expect Obama to do well in states like NH, CO, and NV, and not so well in states like MO, AR, and WV.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Obama surges at Clinton and Gore's expenses.

Huckabee has a surge at Romney's expense; he's only trailing Romney by a bit. Giuliani is slightly down. McCain up. Paul down.

Democrats
Clinton 65.2
Obama 26.0
Edwards 5.7
Gore 2.2
Richardson 0.5
Biden 0.3
Dodd 0.1


Republicans
Giuliani 41.7
Romney 19.8
Huckabee 18.3
McCain 8.0
Thompson 5.0
Paul 4.5
Rice 1.6
Gingrich 0.3

Obama:


Romney:


Huckabee:

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Obama gains some more at everyone else (except Gore's) expenses.

Giuliani and Romney recover a bit from yesterday's slide.

Democrats
Clinton 64.5
Obama 28.0
Edwards 4.9
Gore 2.5
Richardson 0.4
Biden 0.2
Dodd 0.1


Republicans
Giuliani 42.7
Romney 22.3
Huckabee 18.1
McCain 8.1
Thompson 5.0
Paul 4.8
Rice 1.7
Gingrich 0.3

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Some Democrats slightly down; no real corresponding gains.

Huckabee gains at Giuliani and Romney's expenses; now not so far behind Romney for 2nd place.

Democrats
Clinton 63.9
Obama 27.5
Edwards 4.9
Gore 2.7
Richardson 0.3
Biden 0.3
Dodd 0.1


Republicans
Giuliani 41.0
Romney 21.0
Huckabee 20.0
McCain 8.1
Thompson 5.0
Paul 4.8
Rice 1.4
Gingrich 0.3

Huckabee today:

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Clinton slides some more.

Giuliani has a significant drop. Romney also drops, allowing Huckabee to claim 2nd place. Thompson's crash and burn continues, while Paul gains a bit.


Democrats
Clinton 63.0
Obama 27.9
Edwards 4.9
Gore 2.7
Biden 0.4
Richardson 0.3
Dodd 0.1


Republicans
Giuliani 38.7
Huckabee 20.2
Romney 19.3
McCain 8.1
Paul 5.6
Thompson 4.5
Rice 1.4
Gingrich 0.3

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Clinton's slide continues, with Obama gaining. More people realize that Gore isn't running.

Giuliani slightly up at Romney's expense. Thompson and Paul switch places again.

Democrats
Clinton 62.0
Obama 28.5
Edwards 4.9
Gore 2.3
Richardson 0.3
Biden 0.3
Dodd 0.1


Republicans
Giuliani 39.5
Huckabee 20.0
Romney 18.9
McCain 8.2
Thomspon 5.4
Paul 4.9
Rice 1.4
Gingrich 0.3

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Winning individual

Clinton 40.0
Giuliani 17.9
Obama 16.1
Huckabee 8.6
Romney 7.0
McCain 2.7
Paul 2.6
Edwards 2.1
Gore 1.5
Thompson 1.2
Bloomberg 0.4
Biden 0.2
Field 0.1

Winning Party
Democrat 59.6
Republican 38.4
Field 2.0

Democratic odds
House 86.0
Senate 89.9

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Obama has a substantial gain at Clinton's expense. He is over 30 and she under 60 for the first time in a few months. Gore also gains a bit.

Huckabee falls, McCain and Paul gain. Rice finally falls to more reasonable levels.

Democrats
Clinton 59.2
Obama 32.8
Edwards 5.0
Gore 3.0
Richardson 0.3
Biden 0.3
Dodd 0.1


Republicans
Giuliani 40.1
Romney 18.5
Huckabee 18.4
McCain 9.0
Paul 6.0
Thomspon 5.0
Rice 0.4
Gingrich 0.4

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Obama has a decent gain, but Clinton also goes up. The lower candidates tend to go down, including Dodd, who drops off.

Giuliani and Romney gain. Huckabee slides a bit.

Democrats
Clinton 60.1
Obama 34.0
Edwards 4.5
Gore 2.8
Biden 0.3
Richardson 0.2


Republicans
Giuliani 41.1
Romney 19.5
Huckabee 17.8
McCain 9.2
Paul 6.0
Thomspon 5.0
Rice 0.5
Gingrich 0.4

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DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Clinton 69.3
Obama 25.0
Edwards 5.6
Gore 2.0
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.1

Iowa
Clinton 45.0
Obama 40.0
Edwards 16.2
Richardson 0.1
Field 0.1

New Hampshire
Clinton 63.3
Obama 40.0
Edwards 3.0
Richardson 0.1
Dodd 0.1
Field 0.1

REPUBLICANS

Nomination
Giuliani 28.5
Romney 23.3
McCain 18.0
Huckabee 13.8
Paul 6.4
Thompson 3.3
Rice 0.5
Gingrich 0.2
Bloomberg 0.2
Hunter 0.1

Iowa
Huckabee 55.0
Romney 33.0
McCain 4.0
Thompson 1.5
Giuliani 0.4
Field 5.9

New Hampshire
Romney 50.0
McCain 42.1
Huckabee 4.9
Giuliani 1.0
Thompson 0.2

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DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Clinton 67.1
Obama 24.0
Edwards 5.5
Gore 2.0
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.2

Iowa
Clinton 40.0
Obama 40.0
Edwards 23.2
Richardson 0.1
Field 0.1

New Hampshire
Clinton 56.1
Obama 40.0
Edwards 3.9
Richardson 0.1
Dodd 0.1
Field 0.1

REPUBLICANS

Nomination
Giuliani 30.0
Romney 22.4
McCain 18.0
Huckabee 14.6
Paul 6.7
Thompson 3.6
Rice 0.5
Gingrich 0.3
Bloomberg 0.2
Hunter 0.1

Iowa
Huckabee 59.9
Romney 29.0
McCain 3.0
Thompson 1.6
Giuliani 0.1
Field 5.5

New Hampshire
Romney 52.0
McCain 40.0
Huckabee 4.0
Giuliani 1.0
Thompson 0.1
Field 8.9

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A record low of 0.3% odds for the nomination of the non top 4 Democrats.

Romney surges from 29 to 65 in IA.

DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Clinton 67.3
Obama 24.9
Edwards 5.7
Gore 2.0
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.1

Iowa
Obama 44.9
Clinton 38.7
Edwards 22.0
Richardson 0.1
Field 0.1

New Hampshire
Clinton 57.3
Obama 44.0
Edwards 1.6
Richardson 0.1
Dodd 0.1
Field 0.1

REPUBLICANS

Nomination
Giuliani 30.4
Romney 22.9
McCain 18.9
Huckabee 14.5
Paul 7.0
Thompson 3.6
Rice 0.5
Gingrich 0.3
Bloomberg 0.2
Hunter 0.1

Iowa
Huckabee 65.0
Romney 35.0
McCain 2.0
Thompson 2.0
Giuliani 0.1
Field 3.3

New Hampshire
Romney 56.0
McCain 32.0
Huckabee 3.8
Giuliani 1.2
Thompson 0.3
Field 5.0

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Edwards's odds in IA and NH are up.
It's a 3-way race for the nomination on the Republican side.

DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Clinton 67.5
Obama 24.0
Edwards 6.1
Gore 2.0
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.2

Iowa
Obama 40.6
Clinton 33.5
Edwards 25.0
Richardson 0.1
Field 0.1

New Hampshire
Clinton 54.1
Obama 41.0
Edwards 5.0
Richardson 0.1
Dodd 0.1
Field 0.1

REPUBLICANS

Nomination
Giuliani 30.0
Romney 24.3
McCain 21.2
Huckabee 11.4
Paul 7.0
Thompson 3.0
Rice 0.4
Gingrich 0.3
Bloomberg 0.2
Hunter 0.1

Iowa
Romney 51.1
Huckabee 41.10
McCain 2.0
Thompson 1.5
Giuliani 0.1
Field 4.3

New Hampshire
Romney 53.0
McCain 38.9
Huckabee 3.6
Giuliani 1.2
Thompson 0.3
Field 5.1

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Clinton and Edwards' nomination odds gain at Obama's expense. IA is clearly a 3-way race; Edwards is now slightly above Obama.

Giuliani, Romney, and McCain are in a 3-way race for the nomination, with Huckabee dropping.

DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Clinton 69.5
Obama 20.6
Edwards 7.6
Gore 1.9
Biden 0.3
Richardson 0.2

Iowa
Clinton 36.0
Edwards 34.2
Obama 30.5
Richardson 0.1
Field 0.1

REPUBLICANS

Nomination
Giuliani 26.6
Romney 25.9
McCain 22.8
Huckabee 9.0
Paul 8.0
Thompson 3.5
Rice 0.4
Gingrich 0.3
Bloomberg 0.2
Hunter 0.1

Iowa
Romney 50.5
Huckabee 44.0
McCain 0.4
Thompson 0.3
Field 4.8

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The last changes for the nomination are reversed; Obama gains big at Obama and Edwards' expenses.  Dodd is back on the list.

In IA: Obama goes from 3rd to first place; Edwards plunges.

McCain now only slightly trails Romney for 2nd for the nomination. Thompson's crash and burn continues.

Huckabee retakes the advantage in IA.

DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Clinton 66.0
Obama 26.0
Edwards 6.4
Gore 2.0
Richardson 0.3
Dodd 0.2
Biden 0.1

Iowa
Obama 49.0
Clinton 40.0
Edwards 15.1
Richardson 0.1
Field 0.1

REPUBLICANS

Nomination
Giuliani 28.8
Romney 24.7
McCain 23.4
Huckabee 9.1
Paul 7.8
Thompson 3.0
Rice 0.4
Gingrich 0.3
Bloomberg 0.1
Hunter 0.1

Iowa
Huckabee 49.5
Romney 44.0
Thompson 0.8
McCain 0.4
Field 4.2

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Obama and Edwards gain at Clinton's expense for the nomination. Edwards gains at Clinton's expense in IA.

Romney falls, with McCain gaining to pass him. Thompson's crash and burn continues. Huckabee surges in IA, McCain posts a gain, too.

DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Clinton 64.4
Obama 27.6
Edwards 7.0
Gore 1.9
Richardson 0.3
Dodd 0.2
Biden 0.1

Iowa
Obama 50.0
Clinton 30.0
Edwards 24.0
Richardson 0.1
Field 0.1

REPUBLICANS

Nomination
Giuliani 29.0
McCain 24.5
Romney 22.8
Huckabee 9.5
Paul 7.3
Thompson 2.0
Rice 0.6
Gingrich 0.3
Bloomberg 0.1
Hunter 0.1

Iowa
Huckabee 65.0
Romney 37.0
McCain 2.9
Thompson 0.8
Field 4.0

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Obama is the favorite Democrat in IA.
Field (Ron Paul) is notably high on the Republican side there.


DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Clinton 64.5
Obama 26.5
Edwards 7.0
Gore 1.8
Richardson 0.2
Dodd 0.2
Biden 0.1

Iowa
Obama 54.7
Clinton 28.0
Edwards 18.0
Richardson 0.1
Field 0.1

REPUBLICANS

Nomination
Giuliani 27.1
McCain 24.0
Romney 23.8
Huckabee 11.5
Paul 7.5
Thompson 2.9
Rice 0.6
Gingrich 0.4
Bloomberg 0.1
Hunter 0.1

Iowa
Huckabee 58.1
Romney 40.0
McCain 0.3
Thompson 0.2
Field 4.0

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There is a distinct order to the top 3 Democrats, while the Republican side is basically even between the top 2.

IOWA

Democrats

Obama 54.8
Clinton 34.2
Edwards 16.3
Richardson 0.1
Biden 0.1 (Field)

Republians

Huckabee 52.1
Romney 49.0
Paul 4.0 (Field)
McCain 0.3
Thompson 0.2

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Obama has a decent gain at Clinton and also Edwards' expenses for the nomination. The odds are on him to win IA.

McCain has a massive surge at Giuliani and to a less extent Romney's expenses for the nomination, McCain is back in first place. Huckabee also gains. Odds are on Huckabee to win IA.


DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Clinton 61.1
Obama 32.1
Edwards 6.0
Gore 1.8
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.2
Dodd 0.1

Iowa
Obama 65.0
Clinton 25.0
Edwards 13.6
Richardson 0.1
Biden 0.1 (Field)


REPUBLICANS

Nomination
McCain 27.7
Giuliani 22.5
Romney 21.0
Huckabee 12.0
Paul 7.5
Thompson 3.3
Rice 0.6
Gingrich 0.4
Bloomberg 0.1
Hunter 0.1

Iowa
Huckabee 69.0
Romney 29.7
Paul 2.4 (Field)
McCain 0.9
Thompson 0.3

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Obama continues to gain at Clinton's expense for the nomination. He is now getting close to his record high. He is the overwhelming favorite in IA.

The Republican nomination odds seem to be split fairly evenly 4-ways. Huckabee is the overwhelming favorite in IA.

DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Clinton 56.0
Obama 34.0
Edwards 6.1
Gore 1.4
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.2
Dodd 0.1

Iowa
Obama 77.0
Clinton 17.0
Edwards 12.5
Richardson 0.1
Biden 0.1 (Field)


REPUBLICANS

Nomination
McCain 28.0
Giuliani 24.0
Romney 22.3
Huckabee 14.0
Paul 7.1
Thompson 2.7
Rice 0.6
Gingrich 0.4
Bloomberg 0.1
Hunter 0.1

Iowa
Huckabee 73.9
Romney 29.0
Paul 2.5 (Field)
McCain 1.4
Thompson 0.1

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Obama continues to gain at Clinton and Edwards' expenses.

McCain is the front-funner. Romney and Paul are in free-fall.

DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Clinton 55.3
Obama 36.0
Edwards 3.0
Gore 1.5
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.2
Dodd 0.1

Iowa
Obama 98.0
Edwards 3.2
Clinton 0.1

New Hampshire
Obama 60.0
Clinton 36.0
Edwards 3.1
Richardson 0.1
Dodd 0.1
Field 0.1



REPUBLICANS

Nomination
McCain 34.0
Giuliani 23.2
Huckabee 17.8
Romney 13.0
Paul 4.6
Thompson 4.0
Rice 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5
Gingrich 0.4
Hunter 0.1

Iowa
Huckabee 99.0
Romney 1.1
McCain 0.2
Thompson 0.1
Field 0.3

New Hampshire
McCain 65.0
Romney 25.0
Thompson 3.0
Huckabee 2.8
Giuliani 0.6
Field 11.0

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Obama is at an all time high, and is no longer that far behind Clinton. Some bozos still have buys for Biden.

DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Clinton 53.0
Obama 43.9
Edwards 2.9
Gore 1.9
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.1

New Hampshire
Obama 60.0
Clinton 30.0
Edwards 1.0
Richardson 0.1


REPUBLICANS

Nomination
McCain 33.3
Giuliani 26.8
Huckabee 17.5
Romney 14.5
Paul 4.4
Thompson 2.8
Rice 0.6
Bloomberg 0.5
Gingrich 0.4
Hunter 0.1


New Hampshire
McCain 66.0
Romney 20.0
Paul 5.0 (Field)
Thompson 3.0
Huckabee 3.0

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Post-debate update.

Obama is now favored to be the Democratic nominee. Gore drops.

Giuliani gains at Romney and other's expenses. Hopeless candidates drop.


DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Obama 55.0
Clinton 53.0
Obama 42.0
Edwards 2.7
Gore 1.0
Richardson 0.3
Biden 0.1

New Hampshire
Obama 76.0
Clinton 28.0
Edwards 0.6
Richardson 0.1


REPUBLICANS

Nomination
McCain 33.0
Giuliani 32.0
Huckabee 16.3
Romney 10.0
Paul 4.2
Thompson 3.0
Gingrich 0.4
Rice 0.3
Bloomberg 0.1
Hunter 0.1

New Hampshire
McCain 85.0
Romney 14.1
Paul 3.0 (Field)
Huckabee 2.6
Thompson 0.2

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Obama is the definite front-runner.

DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Obama 60.0
Clinton 38.0
Edwards 2.0
Gore 0.9
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.1

New Hampshire
Obama 82.0
Clinton 15.0
Edwards 1.0
Richardson 0.1




REPUBLICANS

Nomination
McCain 33.3
Giuliani 31.5
Huckabee 15.5
Romney 12.0
Paul 4.3
Thompson 2.1
Gingrich 0.4
Rice 0.3
Bloomberg 0.2
Hunter 0.1

New Hampshire
McCain 78.0
Romney 13.5
Huckabee 2.6
Paul 2.0 (Field)
Giuliani 0.4
Thompson 0.2


Obama this last week:



Clinton this last week: