and Minnesota hasn't been won by a Republican since 1972 but you'll argue it's in play. Btw, wouldn't you have said in 1996 that Clinton could never win Arizona since it was conservative Republican state that hadn't voted Democratic since 1948?
Sorry, but there's now way you can say Bush has a better chance in Illinois than Kerry in Virginia.
I've got an even better analogy.
The popular vote in Vermont was started ibn 1828. As of 1992, it had gone Democrat once, in 1964. Pretty hopeless for Clinton.
