What the hell happened in Michigan? (user search)
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  What the hell happened in Michigan? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What the hell happened in Michigan?  (Read 5945 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,894


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: March 09, 2016, 01:50:41 AM »

There must have been something wrong with the water. Tongue

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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,894


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: March 09, 2016, 03:29:40 AM »

It was pretty heartbreaking for the Sanders campaign when they missed his "on track to win" benchmark in Vermont. You would think that 100% of the vote would be an easy target for a popular, long-serving Senator in a small state!

And his poor performance allowed Hillary to win 0 delegates in Vermont.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,894


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: March 11, 2016, 06:14:37 AM »

WaPo thinks they figured it and and apparently it is all Howard Dean's fault...
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/03/09/why-were-the-polls-in-michigan-so-far-off/


Basically the likely voter screens of pollsters were using models based on the weird 2008 race and were underestimating the number of men and young voters.  So in theory MI is an anomolie because of their issues with the 2008 election, which shouldn't apply to polling in other states like OH.

Lets see, the newspaper that recently ran 16 hit pieces against Bernie in just 16 hours is trying to convince people that some election 8 years ago screwed up all the polls in Michigan, and none of the other 49 states could be used as models? What a joke!
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,894


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #3 on: March 11, 2016, 06:52:36 PM »

WaPo thinks they figured it and and apparently it is all Howard Dean's fault...
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/03/09/why-were-the-polls-in-michigan-so-far-off/


Basically the likely voter screens of pollsters were using models based on the weird 2008 race and were underestimating the number of men and young voters.  So in theory MI is an anomolie because of their issues with the 2008 election, which shouldn't apply to polling in other states like OH.

Lets see, the newspaper that recently ran 16 hit pieces against Bernie in just 16 hours is trying to convince people that some election 8 years ago screwed up all the polls in Michigan, and none of the other 49 states could be used as models? What a joke!

How many negative stories do you think they've run on Hillary Clinton? Probably like a thousand based on the email faux scandal alone!

I really doubt anywhere close to 16 in 16 hours.
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