Dems Can't Keep Losing Dixie (user search)
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  Dems Can't Keep Losing Dixie (search mode)
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Author Topic: Dems Can't Keep Losing Dixie  (Read 43263 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,832


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: May 16, 2005, 04:23:37 AM »

We don't need the South to win the Presidency. the southwest (NV, NM, CO) and great lakes (IA, MN, WI, MI, OH, PA) give more than enough to win.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,832


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2005, 05:01:22 PM »

But this means very little in the long term analysis.  The electoral map is very lucid.  And, we can see the factors that will lead to the dimise of Republican control of the south springing forward in the genesis of the movement.  One need only look at Virginia to see what I mean.  The spread of the southern suburbs has lead to stronger Republican cooalitions, but the fact is that prosperity makes people more socailly liberal, and that is were the country is headed.  Just as the spread of suburbs in VA is slowly turning that state, the spread of that way of life into North Carolina and Georgia will have the same result.  Might take 30 years, but if the Republicans don't find a more solid cooalition than the one they have now, or they don't learn how to change with the times, this will come back to haunt them, in a big way.

I would mostly agree.  While things do look pretty bleak at the moment for Democrats, we should remember that if this is where we are now:




Vermont looks pretty hopeless.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,832


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: July 06, 2005, 02:43:24 AM »

An optimistic Reid vs. generic southern Republican map:




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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,832


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #3 on: July 06, 2005, 02:54:33 AM »
« Edited: July 06, 2005, 03:16:01 AM by jfern »

Here's a Reid / Bayh landslide with the Mormom church stating that Reid is pretty cool.



The cry of "Give them hell, Harry" manages to have Reid break 60% in MO.
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