When will Sanders lead a primary poll outside of Vermont (if ever)? (user search)
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  When will Sanders lead a primary poll outside of Vermont (if ever)? (search mode)
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Author Topic: When will Sanders lead a primary poll outside of Vermont (if ever)?  (Read 2423 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 53,875


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: August 04, 2015, 10:49:33 PM »

I'd say 1-2 months.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,875


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: August 05, 2015, 01:21:01 AM »

A Gravis poll from February showed Hillary 8 points ahead of Elizabeth Warren in Montana. I wouldn't be surprised if Bernie's ahead there now, although their primary isn't until June 7th, and I have a hard time seeing Bernie staying in that late. Overall, I think the states he's most like to carry are in order: Vermont, New Hampshire, Minnesota, Colorado, Maine, and Washington.

I suppose if we're going to rely on Gravis polls, there was one in Washington in May that had Hillary up only 9. So who knows what we get in the next Gravis poll there.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,875


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: April 06, 2016, 07:11:00 PM »

There's a chance he'll do better than Hilary in rural white conservative states, especially those with a populist tradition. Not that anybody will bother polling, say, the Dakotas so it's all moot.

Yes, the rural white conservative states like Hawaii.
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