Bayh's numbers in Indiana look great... (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 11, 2024, 05:17:42 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  Bayh's numbers in Indiana look great... (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Bayh's numbers in Indiana look great...  (Read 4338 times)
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,917


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: April 04, 2005, 04:20:03 PM »
« edited: April 04, 2005, 04:30:41 PM by jfern »

Top Bayh winning strategy: The states Gore officially won + Indiana
A weird strategy: IN + OH + Kerry states - NH - OR (all the remaining non-great lakes states were won by Kerry by at least 6.68 points).

For this 2nd strategy, Bayh would want a running mate who would do well in the great lakes by him/her self. .
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,917


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: April 04, 2005, 08:26:57 PM »

I'm about 80% certain that Bayh would win Indiana in the general.

i seriously doubt it -if Mark Warner is unlikely to carry his own state if he is the Democratic presidential nominee, how much more likely would Evan Bayh carry his? 

Bayh just got 62% of the vote.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,917


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: April 09, 2005, 12:46:23 AM »


The only thing is 2 Senators might be seen as a liability. Some non-Senators possibilities for VP to consider are Warner, Richardson, Spitzer, and Schweitzer.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,917


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #3 on: April 09, 2005, 12:55:17 AM »


I dont see Bayh taking the backseat to anyone.  To be honest I really dont see Feingold taking the back seat to anyone.  I dont understand why any U.S. Senator would want the VP slot.  At best you have an outside chance of being President 8 years down the road.  Why risk losing your perks in the Senate for that?



If you're a Senator you're up only a third of Presidential elections, so you're not giving anything up by running the other2 out of 3 times.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,917


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #4 on: April 19, 2005, 03:41:14 AM »


If Bayh truly did appeal to populist-type people who mostly vote Republican now, do you think Bayh could do as well as Dukakis did in rural counties? Dukakis won one eastern county, I think. He won 3.5 counties in Eastern Washington.

Weirdly, he ran much worse in New England than any Democrat since, despite that he was from there.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 11 queries.