Nevada GOP caucus **results thread** (user search)
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  Nevada GOP caucus **results thread** (search mode)
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Author Topic: Nevada GOP caucus **results thread**  (Read 51023 times)
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,918


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: February 04, 2012, 06:54:22 PM »

The "very poor" are apparently not very enamored of Mittens.

Under 30k voters:
Paul 32%
Gingrich 31%
Romney 31%

"This is a classless country."

One, making under 30K does not necessarily classify you as "very poor." Two, most people under 30K are young people. When you control for the young people who support Paul, Romney wins under 30K voters by about 50-20-20 yet again.

There is no "class divide," but please continue spewing John Edwards/Walter Mondale-esque populist nonsense. That should be a real winner for Obama in November.

Well, the poorest people tend not to vote in Republican caucuses.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,918


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: February 05, 2012, 01:21:07 AM »

Wow, the Nevada Republican party is slow.

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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,918


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: February 05, 2012, 01:50:36 AM »
« Edited: February 05, 2012, 01:52:33 AM by ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ »

I can't believe that despite it being a weekend, I'm going to bed before a majority of precincts have reported.

Even worse that that, most of the caucuses finished by 3pm, and there's only somewhere around 30k-40k votes.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,918


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #3 on: February 05, 2012, 01:55:10 AM »

Maybe they're all at a casino gambling with Romney. Sure, Mormons aren't supposed to gamble, but Romney does like $10k bets.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,918


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #4 on: February 05, 2012, 02:17:45 AM »

So they're actually hand counting every ballot, even though (presumably) each precinct already did their own count and phoned it in?  Didn't Iowa just rely on the phoned in counts from each precinct, and then didn't bother with doing a recount until certification, which took two weeks?  Why didn't they just do that here?  It's not like there was ever much danger of a switch in the winner of the caucus, like there was in Iowa.


The only feasible explanation I can see is that they tried that method, felt that people were screwing up results reporting, and spontaneously decided to centralize counting...it would also explain why they seem like they have like six vote counters for the entire damn county.

The unemployment rate is 13%, so they could have probably gotten some temps pretty fast if they needed to.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,918


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #5 on: February 05, 2012, 02:34:23 AM »
« Edited: February 05, 2012, 02:35:57 AM by ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ »

It seems the CNN poll says that all of Clark County is left to count and if it is counted Romney finishes above 50%. That's all I need to know (for my prediction).

Well, probably. Yeah, estimating from the entrance poll gives
Romney 53
Gingrich 19
Paul 18
Santorum 9

Of course Paul could still beat Gingrich.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,918


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #6 on: February 05, 2012, 02:38:42 AM »

Honestly, considering some of these caucuses took place like twelve hours before they started releasing results, there's really no reason why they shouldn't have had at least a fair amount of them counted and ready to be released by the time the Magic Jew Caucus began.

So far this thread is the only place (that Google knows of) on the Internet that uses "Magic Jew Caucus".
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,918


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #7 on: February 06, 2012, 02:22:35 AM »

Delegates to be awarded are: Romney = 14, Gingrich = 6, Paul - 5, Santorum = 3.

Paul gets minus 5 delegates?  Sad

They took his New Hampshire and Iowa ones away.

They're mad at him for crashing the Magical Jew Caucus.
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