538 Model Megathread (user search)
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May 23, 2024, 03:54:48 PM
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Author Topic: 538 Model Megathread  (Read 84769 times)
riceowl
riceowl315
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« on: August 18, 2016, 03:28:53 PM »
Somewhat off-topic, but 538 cites this website throughout the attached article. Have they done that before?

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-why-clinton-doesnt-have-this-race-locked-up/
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2016, 03:54:51 PM »
In polls-only, Clinton's odds of winning NV = Trump's odds of winning UT Wink
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2016, 08:34:12 AM »
I know the model doesn't account for early voting, but I'm starting to think Iowa could surprise and they have it as <30% for Clinton in all models.
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2016, 10:21:37 AM »
Uh, is he actively manipulating the model today to put it where he wants it? There's no polls I can see that are being input to make the states swing back to their more favorable HRC sides.
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2016, 07:13:41 PM »
Quote from: Castro on November 07, 2016, 07:04:09 PM
Ugh now I'm in the awkward position of hoping Clinton loses North Carolina just to keep everyone from going OMG HE DID IT AGAIN! 50/50 STATES!!!!!!!1!

Ohio!
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2016, 09:33:17 PM »
Welp, on polls only, he led exactly 1 day the entire cycle. Bless.
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riceowl
riceowl315
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« Reply #6 on: November 08, 2016, 12:37:35 AM »
Nate be having wet dreams about Alaska tonight
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