Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal

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Rural turnout looks to have dropped considerably today. As a result, Democrats gained to their statewide lead. While Carson City it yet to report (and a few rural counties still haven't reported from Thursday), so Republican may gain a couple hundred more votes when everything is in, Democrats are up about 4.7K statewide, and 18K in Clark.

Nice.  Might this mean that Republicans have in fact been cannibalizing their voters, and are now out of low hanging fruit?  I'd want to wait for Monday to know say for sure.

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^
That could just be an artifact of the weekend.  Though we did see the same thing in Nevada starting on Friday.  Monday will be interesting.

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Republicans are cannibalizing their support in North Carolina too:



Source

Uh, that chart shows that exactly the same % of Democrat and Republican early voters voted in 2014.

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Republicans are cannibalizing their support in North Carolina too:



Source

Uh, that chart shows that exactly the same % of Democrat and Republican early voters voted in 2014.

3% more Republicans who voted on election day are voting early.

Yeah, but 4% of this year's Democratic early voters also voted early this year.

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Democrats are going to have a pretty good day today in Florida, looks like super high turnout in the counties that are open.

Yeah it looks pretty crazy, but Reps will have the advantage on ED according to Schale (not sure why). Hopefully Democrats can keep it close on the 6th.

Democrats tend to early vote while Republicans are more traditional and wait until actual Election Day to vote.

I have to question that CW with the special elections we've been seeing in Florida this cycle though. Democrats actually did better on e-day than in the early vote in most of the specials..

In addition, there is evidence that Republicans are cannibalizing their voters (the targetsmart data from Florida suggests that its true for the early vote in the state).  So I wouldn't be surprised if election day is better than history would suggest for the Democrats.