Morning Consult national poll: D: Clinton 46% Sanders 39%; R: Trump 44% Cruz 17%

[Mehmentum]

If their Hispanic numbers are right Sanders will win Nevada. Right now it sounds too optimistic so I'm holding off until I see it backed up in NV or other national polls.

What makes you say that?  Its not like she's trailing with Hispanics, or with voters overall.  If this poll is accurate, in all likelihood that means she's leading in Nevada.

[Mehmentum]

If their Hispanic numbers are right Sanders will win Nevada. Right now it sounds too optimistic so I'm holding off until I see it backed up in NV or other national polls.

I've seen other polls that have had the Hispanic difference at around 12%, so 8% really isn't an

outlier.

If their Hispanic numbers are right Sanders will win Nevada. Right now it sounds too optimistic so I'm holding off until I see it backed up in NV or other national polls.

What makes you say that?  Its not like she's trailing with Hispanics, or with voters overall.  If this poll is accurate, in all likelihood that means she's leading in Nevada.

Hispanics only made up 14-15% of the Nevada Democratic Caucus voters in 2008.

African Americans made up another 15%.  White voters were 65% of the electorate in 2008, compared to 91% in Iowa and 93% in New Hampshire this year.