And you think that any future war will involve dogfighting and not planes using missiles from 200 miles away? Or that drones, which can pull off maneuvers that would leave the fittest human pilot unconscious, won't be able to rival the best manned aircraft? The US hasn't had a dogfight since 1972 and the world hasn't seen them since the Ethiopia-Eritrea war nearly 20 years ago. Fighters are dead.
I do not think dogfights will happen much if at all, aye, but as Ernest points out the aircraft would basically be unable to attack anything on the ground whilst rigged for AAW. Drones could fill the vacated niche, true, but to be honest I am averse to it since I suspect leaders will be less reluctant to initiate violence if none of their own people are in danger. I am honestly not sure that I am ready to live in a world where wars entail a major world power only losing money and metal while its opponents lose human lives fighting against mechanized minions of enemy personnel comfortably situated in front of PCs half a world away.
Perhaps the opposition to drones is unfounded and amounts to little more than the worrying of a bloke with just a wee bit of personal techno-conservatism to overcome. Or maybe not. I'm not yet sure.
. . . I'm going to go out on a limb and predict that there will never again be a serious aereal dogfight. The US only picks fights with those that can't fight back.
This is a distinct possibility, yes. I have no clue what the world will be like thirty or forty years from now, however, and in light of that uncertainty I am tempted to reply that it is better to play it safe and plan for the future than to risk someday being caught unprepared. Since this is not a high-priority issue for me what I would suggest is at the very least to keep producing prototypes, testing them, and learning from the results so that our country remains capable of quickly churning out quality hardware if/when new threats emerge. It is an attitude akin to that I have for building new surface combatants for the navy.
For whatever its worth though I do not place a high priority on defense. If the public is uninterested in paying higher taxes it would be preferable for leaders to cut quite deeply into military spending prior to exploring any other forms of austerity.