To retake a chamber, what would be the lead?
~8 points, but it's hard to say for certain. A lot of people say they prefer one party but then vote for their incumbent of the other party.
Democrats were leading by a similar 45/43 edge going into November 2012 and still ended up with just 35% of the total Assembly seats.
Their lead is going to have to be at least 10-11 points before they can seriously contest either chamber. Thats how brutal the maps are.
But how did they do in the actual popular vote?
If all of the state Senate votes for Democratic and Republican candidates were added up across the state, Democrats garnered 47 percent to Republican’s 53 percent. But Republicans ended up with 66 percent of the seats to the Democrats’ 34 percent, creating a disproportionate advantage for the Republican party.
In the state House, a similar pattern emerged: Republican candidates garnered 51 percent of the total statewide vote, but won 64 percent of the seats in the chamber.
The GOP won both chambers.
