Republicans heavily overperforming in Ohio early voting (user search)
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  Republicans heavily overperforming in Ohio early voting (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republicans heavily overperforming in Ohio early voting  (Read 2805 times)
krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


« on: October 18, 2012, 05:05:54 PM »

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/10/18/republicans-point-to-early-vote-gains-in-ohio/

In Cuyahoga, Republicans only make up about 12% of registered voters. Ballot numbers through Tuesday of this week, however, signal that almost 22% of early voters in Cuyahoga are Republican.

GOP officials, though, say their absentee and in-person voting turnout in Franklin is coming along nicely. Republicans account for just 16.5% of registered voters in the county, but make up 28.6% of early voting activity so far.

Early vote numbers in key counties like Lucas, Hamilton, Butler, Clermont and Warren tell a similar story.




Good news for Mr. Romney.
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krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2012, 06:16:41 PM »

And yet EVERY credible pollster has Romney down and gaining nada in Ohio.

That happens when you release skewed polls that don't line up with the facts on the ground.
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krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2012, 08:05:35 PM »

And yet EVERY credible pollster has Romney down and gaining nada in Ohio.

That happens when you release skewed polls that don't line up with the facts on the ground.

go to unskewed polls then..not here.


This is not a poll. This is a count of votes.
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krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2012, 08:06:59 PM »

Because of the way OH treats party registration, the numbers are not as impressive as they look.  That said, there probably is an increase in the percentage of the electorate that is R over 2008.  I don't know how much, but I'd guess about 2-4 points.

Is that reflected in the polls?  I don't know. 

Yes, that's true. Suffice to say it is likely that Romney will get the vast bulk of the vote that voted in the GOP primary this year. That itself gets him 22% in the most Democratic county in the state.
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