CO: Public Policy Polling: Obama up 7 (user search)
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  CO: Public Policy Polling: Obama up 7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CO: Public Policy Polling: Obama up 7  (Read 7994 times)
krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


« on: June 19, 2012, 10:52:06 AM »

Using the Miles rule its basically a tossup. Thanks.
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krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


« Reply #1 on: June 19, 2012, 11:44:55 AM »

Using the Miles rule its basically a tossup. Thanks.

I'm glad you're so optimistic about Romney chances Smiley

In Colorado? I am not.
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krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


« Reply #2 on: June 19, 2012, 01:51:58 PM »

party id sample: D +4

who did you vote in 2008 ? obama +10 (he won + 9)

Junk poll...

Not necessarily a junk poll.
Sample: D+4
2008 Coloroado voters: R+1
BUT...
2010 Colorado voters: D+5
I know it seems odd but the 2010 voters in Colorado were more democratic than the 2008 voters, which from what I understand is pretty much the exact opposite of what happened in every other state in 2010.

Based on...exit polls.

We actually know Colorado's voter registration.

But this is PPP, so, whatever.
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krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


« Reply #3 on: June 20, 2012, 04:28:26 PM »

Based on...exit polls.

We actually know Colorado's voter registration.

But this is PPP, so, whatever.

How does that logic work with self-ID in places like Louisiana and Kentucky?




Certainly the logic is not valid in states where the voters registered to a political party do not vote in a partisan manner for that party. But in a partisan state it is better to have more voters.
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