NV: Rasmussen: Heller with commanding lead

[krazen1211]

Yep, Heller is a known elected statewide entity, while berkeley is under ethics investigation.


Congrats to Senator Heller!

[krazen1211]

I don't think Heller is as vulnerable here as many think. I suspect it'll be lean GOP on election day.

The same sample has Obama up 8 in Nevada. Heller is leading of course by a large margin because he is a great candidate with crossover appeal.

[krazen1211]

I don't think Heller is as vulnerable here as many think. I suspect it'll be lean GOP on election day.

The same sample has Obama up 8 in Nevada. Heller is leading of course by a large margin because he is a great candidate with crossover appeal.

You do know that this is the only poll here that shows the candidates more than 10 points apart?

I agree that Heller is up, but he isn't up by 11.

Yes, of course. It is also the first poll I believe since Shelley's ethics scandal.

[krazen1211]

You don't get that much disparity between a presidential poll and senate poll in a state like this. The so-called scandal isn't even getting that much press.

Of course you do. In 2004 incumbent Senator Harry Reid got about 13% more than Presidential Challenger John Kerry.



Ethics investigations of course kicked off in late March.

http://articles.latimes.com/2012/mar/23/news/la-pn-nevada-rep-shelley-berkley-under-ethics-investigation-20120323

[krazen1211]

Harry Reid faced token opposition as an long time elected incumbent, this not an equal situation.

I'm not talking about late March, I'm talking about now and it's not top news right now. Rasmussen had Mack leading in Florida, then back tracked weeks later with in down more than a few points. Rasmussen is playing with numbers again.

Actually, the same exact poll had Obama up 8 points. Rasmussen is presenting the poll and you're making up excuses.

Of course, the 2004 situation is about as close as equal as one is likely to get. Dean Heller has been elected already by the people of Nevada.

[krazen1211]

Harry Reid faced token opposition as an long time elected incumbent, this not an equal situation.

Exactly. Richard Ziser was a nut who ran on the sole issue of stopping gay marriage.

Reid was also somewhat popular back then.

You might be the first liberal to use the 'great poll!' and 'junk poll!' lines on the same poll at the same time.

In 2000 of course John Ensign won the vacant Nevada Senate seat by 15 points. Governor George W. Bush won by about 3.

Seems like you have a big problem with the history of the state.

[krazen1211]

Uh, didn't this same Harry Reid win and beat the disgraced Ensign in 1998?

Yes, by roughly 500 votes. Ensign of course won a large victory 2 years later, and again in 2006 over Jack Carter.