Republicans and New England House Seats

[krazen1211]

You really ought to wait for re-districting. It's possible that only NH will have any GOP opportunities and it's doubtful Bass can defeat Kuster again.

You're saying that there might be gerrymandering in Connecticut?

Bush won 1 of the 5 CT districts in 2004. And since they require a 2/3 margin to redistrict, I suppose CT GOP members might as well punt or go for minimal change.

Looks like it was the 5th, which will probably be open in 2012.

[krazen1211]

You really ought to wait for re-districting. It's possible that only NH will have any GOP opportunities and it's doubtful Bass can defeat Kuster again.

You're saying that there might be gerrymandering in Connecticut?

Bush won 1 of the 5 CT districts in 2004. And since they require a 2/3 margin to redistrict, I suppose CT GOP members might as well punt or go for minimal change.

Looks like it was the 5th, which will probably be open in 2012.

Kerry actually won the fifth. 

Ah, youre right, but by a very small margin. Either way, CT GOPers should maintain that district if possible.

[krazen1211]

The CT GOP can't decide whether it wants to appeal to the socially conservative working class whites or the wealthy social liberals that make up places like CT-04. It's increasingly difficult to do both.

Aren't Democrats faced with the same question?

No, because they have the minorities and the unions.

[krazen1211]

The CT GOP can't decide whether it wants to appeal to the socially conservative working class whites or the wealthy social liberals that make up places like CT-04. It's increasingly difficult to do both.

Aren't Democrats faced with the same question?

No, because they have the minorities and the unions.

That just means they always win if both parties are roughly equally successful at attracting the groups described above, though.

Precisely. So while the  GOP has to figure out the social liberals and the working class at the same time, the Democrats only need 1 or the other.