I believe Jeb Bush and Rand Paul would win in this scenario -- 285 to 253
Key assumptions:
-Obama fatigue
-Lower turnout amongst the blacks
-Lower turnout amongst the Latinos with higher GOP percentage
-Voter ID laws taking affect preventing voter fraud
-High GOP turnout/Paul libertarian types unifying
-Cuomo's gun views hurt him in the midwest and even in Kaine's Virginia
-Nader-like 3rd party gathers 4-5% of the vote nationally causing some states to tilt
Before u say u know how to election, lemme explain u a thing
1. Seems like Reagan fatigue worked out real well for the GOP in 1992!
2. "Lower turnout amongst the blacks" will not effect much, as "the black vote" is not what propelled Obama to victory in 2008 or 2012.
3. That's a bad thing for the GOP???
4. That's just a downright stupid statement and I will not justify it with a response.
5. Paultards will split, as they would never vote for anyone related to George W. Bush.
6. Single issues do not effect entire states.
7. We said the same thing in 2012 about Johnson/Stein/Anderson/etc. Nothing happened.