2008 swing states

[With you in spirit]

CO, IA, NM and maybe NV. I still contend that Romney has a shot in NV. Obama has, for all intensive purposes, lost Ohio following his recent "coming out." Rick Santorum nearly won Ohio because of the suburban Christian Conservative voters. Those same voters will certainly go against Obama, causing him to lose OH. VA is a different story, but I still don't see him winning.

Surprised to see PA not on this list, it's more of a swing state this year then it was in 2008, but it's still considered a swing state.

[With you in spirit]

My current prediction:

Romney: 276

Obama: 262

Romney will not win Iowa or New Hampshire. I'm less sure about NH than IA, but I know he likely won't win either.

[With you in spirit]

It's been trending lean Dem for a while.

[With you in spirit]

It's been trending lean Dem for a while.

That was confusing, I meant Obama. I think that Obama has traded Ohio for Virginia by endorsing gay marriage though, making it a lot harder for Romney to win VA to get the coveted 270. He'll probably have to look elsewhere, WI or PA. Probably not WI unless Walker wins by more than +5 margin.

VA voted against gay marriage in 2006 (I believe it was.) Romney will win WI if Walker wins by +5, I agree, and he'll only win PA if unemployment goes above 9.3-9.5% again.

[With you in spirit]

Good point.