US House Redistricting: California (user search)
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  US House Redistricting: California (search mode)
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Author Topic: US House Redistricting: California  (Read 81410 times)
Napoleon
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« on: April 28, 2011, 10:11:23 PM »
Ventura County should only have two districts.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #1 on: April 28, 2011, 11:33:20 PM »
Quote from: phk on April 28, 2011, 11:20:32 PM
VRA is a form of gerrymandering and should be abolished.

It restricts other forms of gerrymandering.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #2 on: June 16, 2011, 04:35:25 PM »
It looks like only two of the four Jewish mans will be in Congress come 2013.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #3 on: July 29, 2011, 02:20:21 AM »
Sbane and redcomnander, what are your old and new districts?
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Napoleon
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« Reply #4 on: July 29, 2011, 08:54:03 AM »
Quote from: Fredi Linden on July 29, 2011, 05:42:20 AM
Wait, the coastal district now stretches all the way from Palos Verdes to Malibu?

It is bad for Hahn.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #5 on: July 29, 2011, 10:01:29 AM »
Why would Costa run against Cardoza?
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Napoleon
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« Reply #6 on: July 29, 2011, 10:58:02 AM »
Quote from: DrScholl on July 29, 2011, 10:24:42 AM
For one thing, he lives in CA-16 and it's a safer option than CA-21.

That is a poor explanation for why a Congressman would run against his more popular friend in his friend's previous district.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #7 on: July 29, 2011, 11:35:41 AM »
Quote from: DrScholl on July 29, 2011, 11:18:24 AM
Quote from: Senator Napoleon on July 29, 2011, 10:58:02 AM
That is a poor explanation for why a Congressman would run against his more popular friend in his friend's previous district.

You asked and I gave a reason. We all know politicians will run in districts that are safer in order protect their own interests, that's nothing new and it's not a poor explanation.

Its a poor explanation. Costa has no chance in that primary. It isn't his district and he isn't as popular anyways.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #8 on: July 29, 2011, 12:10:01 PM »
Will Berman really run in the Latino district?
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Napoleon
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« Reply #9 on: July 29, 2011, 01:12:44 PM »
Quote from: sbane on July 29, 2011, 10:49:52 AM
So which district would Cardoza run in? The new San Joaquin County one?

Quote from: Senator Napoleon on July 29, 2011, 08:54:03 AM
Quote from: Fredi Linden on July 29, 2011, 05:42:20 AM
Wait, the coastal district now stretches all the way from Palos Verdes to Malibu?

It is bad for Hahn.
Hahn doesn't live in that district anymore. She can run in the new 44th or the coastal district. But as you say, that is not where she is strong. Waxman should move and represent the coastal district. He's perfect for it.

She lives in a packed Latino district. That isn't a good fit either.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #10 on: July 29, 2011, 01:54:16 PM »
Quote from: Torie on July 29, 2011, 01:23:51 PM
So the Pubbies lose 4 safe seats in Socal (Drier, Miller, Calvert and Galleghly (sp), and get in exchange two tossup seats (one in the San Gabriel Valley, and one in Ventura county), with the lean GOP CD in San Diego (Bilbray), made slightly more Dem, and now a tossup CD.  The Santa Barbara seat (Capps) goes from safe Dem to tossup. Have I got this about right?

The old CA-20 is now lean GOP and the old CA-36 is probably lean Dem. IMO.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #11 on: July 29, 2011, 02:18:12 PM »
Joe Baca's new district is probably safe despite the low Obama totals because of the Hispanic and black vote strength outweighing the white vote.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #12 on: July 30, 2011, 03:26:57 PM »

Which district is it?
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Napoleon
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« Reply #13 on: August 30, 2011, 01:54:35 PM »
Very unlikely since the Long Beach portion would be fiercely partisan.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #14 on: August 30, 2011, 10:48:17 PM »
I expect the Long Beaches swing to be a result of increased Black turnout as opposed to actual swing voters.
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