Romney/Democrat Confirmed:
UT-04
NC-07
WV-03
GA-12
Romney/Democrat Plausible:
TX-23
AZ-1
AZ-2
AZ-9
FL-18
MN-07
Obama/Republican Confirmed:
CA-31 (fluke)
NJ-02
NJ-03 (Burlington County section went for Obama by about 35k, Ocean County section for Romney by at most 25k)
IA-03 (52% Obama)
Obama/Republican Plausible:
PA-08 (though I think Romney snagged this by a hair)
IL-13
MN-02
MN-03
FL-27 (lots of swing here)
MI-06 (though I think Romney snagged this by a hair)
NV-03
NY-19
FL-18 probably went for Obama by a hair. Im pretty sure NY-11 switched to Obama/Republican, as Obama actually carried the Staten Island part of the district(he lost it in 2008). I think NJ-05 also switched to Obama/Republican. MI-07 may also be Obama/Republican. Walberg wildly underperformed against a nobody again. I think TX-23 went to Obama again by a hair. Obama did about the same as he did in 2008 in this area. FL-13(Bill Young) is also a likely Obama/Republican district. VA-02 is possible to as an Obama/Republican district.
WI-07 was also probably an Obama/Republican seat.
It actually looks like Obama still might have carried a narrow majority of the nations Congressional districts, even as he only won the popular vote by two points. Wouldnt have expected this.
FL-13 has leaned D for the last few cycles Presidentially. It's a deadly trap that lures promising politicians into attempting to challenge Bill Young; they are subsequently slaughtered.
Democrats just need to wait until Young(blonde Wayne Newton) retires and then they would probably have a 50/50 shot at picking up that seat.
Doubtful; not with Latvala, Brandes, and Baker still around.
That's what Democrats said about TN-08. "Oh we've got hugely popular State Senator Roy Herron who holds a state Senate district in the most Republican part of the district, we'll easily hold that one". He lost by 20 points to a gospel singer.
completely different circumstance. Young's district at worst is like D+2. The Tanner district was more like R+10. Plus, Herron ran in a wave year. He probably would have won in 06 or 08 when they were still loyal dem downballot.
