A Polling Free-Fall Among Blacks (just 2% support Bush) (user search)
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  A Polling Free-Fall Among Blacks (just 2% support Bush) (search mode)
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Author Topic: A Polling Free-Fall Among Blacks (just 2% support Bush)  (Read 2019 times)
Blue Rectangle
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Posts: 2,683


Political Matrix
E: 8.50, S: -0.62
« on: October 13, 2005, 03:43:05 PM »
Quote from: Scoonie on October 13, 2005, 03:40:13 PM
Bush got something like 11% or 12% of the black vote in 2004.

I will gladly let the Republicans take their 2% in 2008.

From the same Washington Post article:
Quote
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So, basically this story is meaningless.
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Blue Rectangle
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,683


Political Matrix
E: 8.50, S: -0.62
« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2005, 04:00:32 PM »
Quote from: jfern on October 13, 2005, 03:55:45 PM
MOE is smaller on 2% out of 89 than 12% out of 135.

What are the MOEs?
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Blue Rectangle
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,683


Political Matrix
E: 8.50, S: -0.62
« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2005, 04:23:15 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Gov. NickG on October 13, 2005, 04:20:23 PM

BTW, the margin of error for a sample of 135 is about 9%; the MoE for a sample of 89 is about 11%.

If the results were near 50%.  jfern used an approximation for very low or very high percentages.  I got 4% and 7% for 99% confidence.
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