Who do you think will win Colorado?

[mondale84]

I think Obama will win and it probably won't even be that close: 50-47 or 51-46.

[mondale84]

Depends on what happens between now and the election.  While Obama will probably run very strong among Latinos, Romney will probably offset those margins with his Mormon support.  Same story in Nevada too.
But, if the election were today, I would probably say President Obama carries it.  Which reminds me: does anyone out there think the shooting in Aurora is affecting the polls out there?

Colorado's Mormon population isn't as big as the Latino population.

Also, Mormons always turn out in impressive numbers and they already vote overwhelmingly Republican.

If Tea Party darling Ken Buck couldn't pull it out in the best year for Republicans in living memory, I don't think Romney can either.

^^^^^This.

[mondale84]

If Tea Party darling Ken Buck couldn't pull it out in the best year for Republicans in living memory, I don't think Romney can either.

Romney is (or was, or may become) a far better fit for Colorado independents than Ken Buck.

Fair enough, but he also needs to drive up the GOP base.

Yeah and this isn't 2010...