Delaware hanging red while MA, CA and NY go blue is curious JJ. By the way, the term "realignment" means something with some staying power. Do you remember the 1984 map? Was that a "realigning" election? The term "realignment" is overused, and each time it is used, it should be taxed really. I hereby declare it an act in interstate commerce.
There is whole thread on the possibility of a realignment which was started in January 2008.
As I said, "Obama, Worse Case Scenario." It is basically the very left wing states and the home states of Obama and Biden.
Like I said, if we see this map, you are looking at a re-alignment.
1980 was the re-aligning election as I define it. V. O. Key called the "critical elections" and probably would have defined 1984 as that election. He did regard 1936 as the "critical election."
I regard it as being a lot more gradual, taking place over 8 years. We may have started one in 2010, and if we get a map like this one, the probability will be that we are in one. I basically said by 2016 we'd be in one, but I had no idea what it would look like.
Here is the thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=69332.0
In other words:
This is "Obama, Worse Case Scenario" map:
If you see this map, you may be looking into the future.
A re-alignment would produce a map that would resemble this, if not be identical to this. An Obama defeat, but a strong showing, would not signal a realignment.
Clean break with reality.
No, I've talking about the possibility of a realignment since January 2008, but after 2008. Like so many other things that you fail to grasp, some of what I said to expect in a realignment has already happened.
I'm not calling the realignment yet, but the odds on it have gotten better. Keep in mind that a map like the one below would not indicate a realignment.
If this map occurs, there probably will not be a realignment, though Obama loses.
You may keep dreaming about a realignment in favor of Republicans, but it might just be the opposite. How are Obama's approval ratings so lackluster and he still is so competitive with the Republican field in important swing states and nationally? Perhaps because 2008 was a realignment and people are willing to give Obama the benefit of the doubt because Republicans are viewed as ridiculously extreme. Let's remember that specific pieces of Obama's agenda (such as healthcare) are unpopular because they aren't liberal enough...
...for the 'pubs out there, keep your heads on straight
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