A Rasmussen Poll taken roughly over the same period as this PPP poll found Obama leading 49-48%. So I'll settle on the difference between the two. If Obama's at 51-46 on PPP, I'd say an Obama lead of about 50-47% in Virginia is likely. While that is not a great position for Romney, it's not insurmountable with 7 weeks and 4 debates left in the campaign.
Was doing some playing around with 270-to-win. Great site.
Yep. The problem is that there is no room for error here whatsoever. Romney loses Nevada, he loses the election. He loses New Hampshire, he loses the election. He loses Iowa/Wisconsin/Florida, oh you better believe he loses the election.
Romney can still win, but either the dynamics of the race significantly change or his path to victory is akin to threading a needle with a sandblaster.