Purple Strategies: Close races in VA, CO, OH, FL (user search)
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  Purple Strategies: Close races in VA, CO, OH, FL (search mode)
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Author Topic: Purple Strategies: Close races in VA, CO, OH, FL  (Read 3617 times)
Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« on: July 16, 2012, 02:52:08 PM »

The GM numbers could genuinely be helpful to Obama in Ohio, which is why I'm willing to believe that he's maybe a touch further up there than in Virginia.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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Posts: 34,525


« Reply #1 on: July 16, 2012, 04:40:55 PM »

Wasn't Purple Strategies completely discredited last time they pulled this?

They're certainly not a 'good' pollster, but this poll doesn't appear to do some of the things that previous ones have done that made them quite so awful.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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Posts: 34,525


« Reply #2 on: July 16, 2012, 04:59:38 PM »

Might I remind us all that Virginia and Ohio are doing significantly better, relative to the nadir, than the rest of the country economically?
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,525


« Reply #3 on: July 17, 2012, 02:01:28 PM »

CO is certainly a state to watch. The only poll that has shown Obama with a huge lead is PPP. The others show it as being like Virginia. I would also like more Iowa polling....

I don't see any reason to believe that Obama will exactly romp in Colorado on Election Day, but I also don't see any reason to believe that he'll lose, so these kinds of numbers make sense. Iowa's definitely set to be closer but I'm still not convinced that Romney's minimum path to victory runs through there. I think it'll be quite close to the national PV.
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