Lumine's Election and Political Tracker (Epilogue) - Tracker Closed (user search)
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  Lumine's Election and Political Tracker (Epilogue) - Tracker Closed (search mode)
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Author Topic: Lumine's Election and Political Tracker (Epilogue) - Tracker Closed  (Read 23909 times)
ZuWo
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Posts: 4,873
Switzerland


« on: May 24, 2014, 05:13:28 AM »
« edited: May 24, 2014, 05:17:28 AM by ZuWo »

Frankly, I think that this presidential election looks exciting only on the surface. The way the field of candidates is set up I would be extremely surprised if the Labor ticket didn't win very handily. DemPGH/Windjammer essentially have a lock on the left-wing vote. Indeed, I can't think of a single left-leaning voter who wouldn't vote for them when given the choice between a ticket made up of two firmly left-wing Atlasians and other tickets that consist of a moderate leftist and a libertarian on the one hand (Sirnick/Dallasfan) and two centrists on the other hand (Winfield/Andrew).

What does the voter base of SirNick/Dallasfan and Winfield/Andrew look like? Well, the former may count on the support of what has remained of the TPP, a party which is probably on its deathbed (again), and a highly enthusiastic but small libertarian party, the D-R. You may throw in a few independents, but that's it. Therefore, I expect Sirnick/Dallasfan to do well on second preferences, but that's probably going to be worthless. If Winfield/Andrew remain the ticket that's perceived as the most right-wing, they will get a very high number of conservative and center-right votes, which, considering the fact that those voters represent about 30% of the Atlasian electorate, should be enough for the final round. However, that's obviously not going to be enough for them to get 50%+1 of the vote.

TL;DR: DemPGH/Windjammer will probably win the election with about 55-60% of the vote. I wouldn't mind if I were proven wrong, though. Wink
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ZuWo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,873
Switzerland


« Reply #1 on: June 21, 2014, 02:52:12 AM »

I can only speak for myself, but the reason why I'm not going to vote for SirNick/Dallasfan is twofold. Firstly, when he was Northeast Governor SirNick opened the regional voting booths to ratify federal amendments a few days late on several occasions in order to protest against the current ratification process. As a former Governor and as someone who opposes further centralization, I strongly disapprove of that.
Secondly, vice-presidential candidate Dallasfan voted for left-wing candidates on several occasions even when there was a more right-wing person running in the same election. His (and a couple of other D-R members') recent vote to endorse socialist Senator TNF for re-election was the straw that broke the camel's back.
I used to cast unenthusiastic votes for tickets that I perceived as less "left-wing" in past presidential elections. However, since I almost always regretted such votes I have decided to abstain this time.
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