GA-SEN 2022 Megathread: Werewolves and Vampires

[Horus]

The problem is Warnock isn't the best debater either and refuses to go for the jugular. Walker barely met the very low expectations set for him, but he did meet them.

A Warnock win is still likely, but the chances of a runoff went up a tad.

[Horus]

This is very close to over. Walker has no momentum and outside of Boomer Facebook he's a meme.

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Are most ppl assuming that this election will definitely go to a runoff?

All but certain.

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seriously though..why haven't there been any polls so far for this race except that AARP poll ?

Holidays and senate control not being on the line. Plenty will come this week.

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DeKalb filled to the brim with canvassers today. Warnock's base is highly activated. 53% may not be out of the question.

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https://twitter.com/SpiroAgnewGhost/status/1598373066685689856

Ugh, looks like Herschel might have a chance after all.. this is major.

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We Catholics (well, "we") love to give Anglo Protestants sh*t for their bland aesthetics, but that cassock (if that's what you call it?) is gorgeous. Is that common in Black churches?

I've seen them pretty often. I feel like they're more of an AME thing than a Baptist thing though maybe I'm wrong. A variant of that pattern is also common at graduations, especially at HBCUs.

[Horus]

Warnock will win by 10+ Points. The Question is when will the Race be called. My guess between 8 and 9pm ET!

So basically a Chambliss vs. Martin 2008 situation? If Republican turnout is way down, it could happen, but I’d think a high single-digit win is closer to Warnock's realistic ceiling, and I’m not sure I’d even bet on that. Don’t really get why people are so confident here.

Camden County which went +33 Walker in November only has about 4K People Voting through 2pm. Walker needs to be closer to 9K to have any chance at all.

Camden County suggest Republican Turnout WAAAY DOWN!

If that's true Walker is done. This county is full of white seniors, pretty much an extension of the Jacksonville metro. It's basically Florida.

[Horus]

Christian hardcore form Georgia is definitely an appropriate soundtrack right?

Georgia produced OutKast, Ray Charles, R.E.M. and James Brown and this is what you go with? Lol, never change BRTD.

[Horus]

Brantley is the first county all in and Warnock outperformed by 2 points.

Brantley county is the most GOP in the state. Trump broke 90% there in 2020.

[Horus]

This is far from over. Maybe a slight Warnock advantage.

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OH MY GOD LOOK AT COBB COUNTY

and that's 85% in

Where are you seeing that? NYT still has it at zero.

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https://twitter.com/mattholt33/status/1600283947287470080

Is that the November early vote he's referencing? Meaningless otherwise.

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Why is everyone everywhere comparing EV numbers with November's final numbers? That literally shows us nothing.

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Johnson County 89% in. Walker leads there 69-31. Was Walker 74-26 in November. Warnock actually getting more raw votes than in November.

Walker's home county lol. I wonder if the former high school football coach endorsing Warnock (post runoff I think) made a difference.

[Horus]

Needle is now leaning Warnock.

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Baldwin county appears to be all in. It has flipped from Walker to Warnock.

[Horus]

Glynn county is now done, and while it did not shift 5 points left as earlier reported, it did go from Walker +27 in November to Walker +25 today.

[Horus]

Douglas County has the most votes in of any of the Atlanta metro counties (over 80%) and Warnock is leading there 69-31 (was 65-33 in November).

Crazy to think Obama barely won it in both 2008 and 2012. The black spillover into the County is literally insane. Same with Henry, Forsyth, and Rockdale; they're all just fundamentally different counties than they were a decade ago with a much more African-American electorate.

Forsyth’s black percentage isn’t substantially different than it was

I assume they mean Fayette, but Forsyth has undergone its own demographic transformation, just with Asian (mainly Chinese) Americans rather than African Americans.

Forsyth has gone from 85% white in 2010 to 63% white as of 2020. The fact that Oprah did one of her most famous shows there in the 80s because it was still so horridly racist and basically a massive sundown county is wild to think about.

[Horus]

Needle just went from Warnock 78 to Warnock 66. Can't tell why.

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Needle now offline.

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Carroll county, growing exurban GOP territory to the southwest of the city is all in, goes from +40 Walker to +39.

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DeKalb is still well under halfway in.

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Dougherty county, home of Albany, now fully reporting. Went from Warnock +41 to Warnock -43.

[Horus]

Richmond county, home of Columbus, goes from Warnock +38 to Warnock +40.