Morning Consult: Biden +9 (user search)
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  Morning Consult: Biden +9 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Morning Consult: Biden +9  (Read 1511 times)
Horus
Sheliak5
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« on: August 22, 2020, 06:00:43 PM »
Encouraging, but not good enough.
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Horus
Sheliak5
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*****
Posts: 11,989
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 22, 2020, 08:35:29 PM »

Factor in post office shenanigans, a shy Trump vote, possible convention bounce and Trump's EC advantage. Biden has to be to by at least 10-11 to win since a solid 10% of votes for him will probably be "lost" or "invalid." He has to win on level of 1980. We no longer live in a fully functioning democracy.
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Horus
Sheliak5
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Posts: 11,989
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« Reply #2 on: August 23, 2020, 05:01:21 AM »
Quote from: President Pericles on August 23, 2020, 04:04:56 AM
Quote from: Horus on August 22, 2020, 08:35:29 PM

Factor in post office shenanigans, a shy Trump vote, possible convention bounce and Trump's EC advantage. Biden has to be to by at least 10-11 to win since a solid 10% of votes for him will probably be "lost" or "invalid." He has to win on level of 1980. We no longer live in a fully functioning democracy.

How convenient that Biden is only up by 9% then? If he was up by 15%, you'd say he needs to win by 16%. If he was up by 20%, you'd say he needs to win by 21%. If he was up by 30%, you'd say he needs to win by 31%.

No, 10% really is the number he has to win by. 15% would be fine.
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