I would take a large bet on Bush doing better in 04 than 00 in VA...
Do you mean in relation to the national trend line? If so, you're on.
hmm well I wasn't really clear on that. I'm 90% sure he will do better in raw terms. Relative to national? That makes me a little nervous, because if Bush does well his national % could go through the roof while VA would top out.
So, relative to 2000, I would not put a lot of $$ on 2004. Too many X factors... Virginia also lacks competitive secondary races that would boost GOP turnout.
