Virginia: Webb has a real legitimate shot and I mean legit (rasmussen) (user search)
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  Virginia: Webb has a real legitimate shot and I mean legit (rasmussen) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Virginia: Webb has a real legitimate shot and I mean legit (rasmussen)  (Read 5312 times)
AuH2O
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Posts: 4,239


« on: October 30, 2006, 05:20:29 PM »

In a close race, polls are basically worthless. If VA Dems turn out in a huge numbers, Webb will win. Otherwise he will lose. The polls are not going to add anything to that analysis.
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AuH2O
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Posts: 4,239


« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2006, 05:39:07 PM »

In a close race, polls are basically worthless.

What exactly does that mean?

It's polls that tell you how close a race is.  That's...an odd way of thinking.

Let's say you have four polls, with candidates A and B:

1- A: 50, B:47
2- A: 47, B:50
3- A: 49, B: 47
4- A: 46, B:50

Quite literally the only thing we would know is that the race is close. Which candidate is ahead in a particular poll is totally worthless, because there are polls on both sides. That's how it is right now in VA.
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