jimrtex
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« on: October 29, 2008, 02:32:11 AM » |
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Abs R - This would be the representation if fractional representatives were apportioned. Another way to interpret it is that Wisconsin will be a very solid 8 seats in 2010, while Pennsylvania will be very close to being midway between 17 and 18.
Change - Change in fractional representatives between 2000 and 2010. For example, Wisconsin lost about 0.3 representatives. In 2000 it had been entitled to about 8.3. Its drop to substantially below 8.5 resulted in its loss of its 9th seat in 2000.
Est - Estimated whole number of seats in 2010. The integer portion of the Abs R, adds up to
413, so an additional 22 seats has to be doled out to get to 435 seats. This is done on a relative basis, so that Texas with an absolute entitlement to 35.259 seats is relatively closer to 36, than several other states with a larger fraction.
% Ch - Projected change in population 2000 to 2010. States gaining faster than the national average of 10.1% will gain representation.
% Marg. If negative, percentage drop that would cause the state to lose its final representative, or gain an additional representative. For example, if Wisconsin lost 7.2% of its population it would lose its 8th seat. This would imply a net change in its population during the decade of -1.0%, so unless the Census Bureau really botched its estimates, Wisconsin will retain its 8th seat. On the other hand, if Texas were to only increase by 20.2% rather than 20.7%, it would only gain 3 seats. States with small negative numbers can be thought as being on the bubble.
If positive, percentage increase that would cause the state to increase its representation by one (either gaining a seat, or not losing as many). States with small positive numbers can be thought as being hopeful.
States that are close: Minnesota, no change, but just barely; Oregon, +1, just barely; and Texas +4, just barely. Missouri, -1, but just barely; New York, -2, but just barely, South Carorlina, no change, but almost +1; and Washington, no change, but almost +1.
State Abs R Change Est % Ch % Marg
Wisconsin 7.990 -0.297 8 6.2% -7.2%
Connecticut 4.982 -0.294 5 3.9% -10.8%
Utah 3.982 0.501 4 26.3% -13.3%
Nevada 3.981 0.859 4 41.1% -13.2%
Kansas 3.966 -0.211 4 4.5% -12.9%
New Hampshire 1.952 -0.018 2 9.0% -25.9%
Louisiana 5.942 -0.968 6 -5.4% -8.5%
Maine 1.933 -0.096 2 4.6% -25.1%
Hawaii 1.904 -0.031 2 8.3% -23.8%
Wyoming 0.900 -0.011 1 8.2% 87.5%
Tennessee 8.898 0.109 9 11.5% -5.5%
New Mexico 2.887 0.037 3 11.6% -14.8%
Florida 26.883 2.228 27 20.1% -2.5%
California 52.692 0.450 53 11.1% -1.4%
Arizona 9.631 1.702 10 33.9% -2.4%
Alabama 6.598 -0.279 7 5.6% -2.6%
West Virginia 2.588 -0.245 3 0.3% -4.6%
Nebraska 2.569 -0.118 3 5.1% -3.8%
Rhode Island 1.568 -0.124 2 1.3% -5.9%
Pennsylvania 17.499 -1.448 18 1.7% -1.1%
Montana 1.460 -0.018 1 8.6% 2.2%
Oregon 5.455 0.155 6 13.4% -0.3%
Minnesota 7.449 -0.155 8 7.9% -0.4%
South Carolina 6.416 0.209 6 13.9% 0.5%
Missouri 8.402 -0.244 8 7.0% 0.3%
Washington 9.397 0.293 9 13.7% 0.3%
Delaware 1.353 0.045 1 14.6% 11.6%
New Jersey 12.321 -0.666 12 4.5% 0.6%
North Carolina 13.283 0.863 13 17.8% 0.8%
Idaho 2.276 0.219 2 22.5% 9.4%
Texas 35.259 3.096 36 20.7% -0.4%
Iowa 4.247 -0.294 4 2.9% 5.2%
South Dakota 1.243 -0.024 1 7.6% 23.3%
Illinois 18.241 -0.920 18 4.8% 0.6%
New York 27.201 -2.071 27 2.3% 0.3%
Michigan 14.185 -1.151 14 1.9% 1.4%
Oklahoma 5.181 -0.164 5 6.7% 5.3%
Georgia 14.176 1.540 14 23.6% 1.4%
Virginia 11.168 0.238 11 12.5% 2.1%
Mississippi 4.158 -0.258 4 3.6% 7.5%
Colorado 7.149 0.495 7 18.4% 4.1%
Ohio 16.127 -1.390 16 1.4% 1.5%
Alaska 1.108 0.020 1 12.6% 41.8%
Massachusetts 9.100 -0.705 9 2.2% 3.6%
Arkansas 4.090 -0.064 4 8.4% 9.3%
Kentucky 6.070 -0.185 6 6.9% 6.3%
Maryland 8.061 -0.123 8 8.5% 4.6%
Indiana 9.044 -0.347 9 6.1% 4.2%
North Dakota 1.025 -0.085 1 -0.5% 56.8%
Vermont 1.009 -0.055 1 2.8% 60.0%
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