A landslide for the Republicans?

[Wonkish1]

Whatever you say, internet tough guy.

Who is that in your avatar?

[Wonkish1]

I  predicted in 2007 that obama would beat the clintons and become the nominee and obama would beat mccain. I believe mitt romney will be the nominee but as far as mitt romney vs  obama way to early anything can happen. I will say alot of people will be shock and upset.

I don't believe that you accurately predicted in mid 08 that McCain would take the nomination. Nobody was making that bet. He was crashing like a rock and seemed to have absolutely 0 base of support. The rest I can believe though

I also predicted in 2007 that Obama would beat the Clintons and that he would beat the GOP nominee whoever that would end up being. And I'm coming out on the opposite side of you and am going to say that it will be somebody other than Romney who will pick up the nomination.

[Wonkish1]

ok i will bet you $10 grand that romney will be the nominee. want to exchange emails??

Well, I doubt you have $10 grand to play around with. But I'm curious as to why you think he's such a lock on the nomination?

[Wonkish1]

Well apparently he got deleted, booted, or something because he's off the thread completely.

[Wonkish1]

i am still waiting on your answer. i deleted them myself

So you actually think someone will take you seriously when you offer to bet them $10 thousand dollars?

Look, if you want your answer its no. I don't think you have the money, I don't think you would pay it if you lose. I think that anybody handicapping this thing would say that odds between Romney and someone else is reasonably close to 50-50. While I could make that bet, I have never gambled in any amount even close to that because I don't like to gamble much. Plus, there is a certain degree of anonymity that I don't like to ever come close to breaking online.

That said, there is no way that you were remotely serious with you $10k bet, and you know it. So stop wasting my time.

[Wonkish1]

We are not going to have another speculative boom for a very long time, but the GOP seems to suggest that the way to create new prosperity is to return to the economic principles that underpinned the Dubya-era boom in real estate.  

Really, you sure about that?

Trust me the underpinnings of the next speculative boom are already in place. And its going to be another big one.

Its not regulation that stops speculative booms, its loose money that fuels them. We'll have another big one in not too many years.