Wonkish1
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,203
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« on: September 16, 2011, 01:26:31 AM » |
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A-Bob I asked you this before, so I'll give my answer.
The only realistic path to a win that I see for Newt.
1) Finish in 2nd or a strong 3rd in Iowa
2) Pick up the Union Leader endorsement(the most valuable endorsement in the primaries) in New Hampshire, the editor's only positive thing he's said about any of the candidates has been directed at Newt
3) Due to endorsement, jump about 15 pts in New Hampshire
4) Win South Carolina, Georgia, and Florida in succession partially due to beating expectations in New Hampshire
That aside, I don't see how he could pull it off. Even though what I laid out up top is definitely in the realm of possibility.
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