Gallup has a 16 point party ID swing in 7 days

[Shira]

It was Republicans +12, now it's Democrats +4
Gallup=junk

Likely Voter Samples
Poll of September 13-15
Reflected Bush Winning by 55%-42%

GOP: 40%
Dem: 33%
Ind: 28%

Poll of September 24-26
Reflected Bush Winning by 52%-44%

GOP: 43%
Dem: 31%
Ind: 25%

Poll of October 1-3
Reflected Dead Heat 49%-49%
772 Likely Voters

GOP: 35%
Dem: 39%
Ind: 26%

Please provide a source for the Gallup party IDs. I do not believe they are correct actually.

EDIT - Ok - these are at the LV level... re-calculating

I was working at the RV level... ;(

I don't understand the problem you see with Gallup.
The latest before the debate was Kerry = -8% and now it is tied. This means that Kerry went up and Bush went down by approximately 4%. That's exactly what Newsweek's and CBS's polls are showing.

[Shira]

"Gallup has a 16 point party ID swing in 7 days"
According to Gallup there was a 4% and not 16% shift