kfseattle
Rookie
Posts: 65
|
 |
« on: May 31, 2004, 04:13:11 AM » |
|
In playing around with Dave's electoral college calculator map over the past...what...almost a year now, I've come to a theory:
Whichever party wins three of these states wins the election:
Florida
Michigan
Pennsylvania
Ohio
Things get trickier when these four are split...the election turns on smaller battleground states that are tough to predict.
I think that 2004 will see these four split again, the same way as in 2000. So I really think that the Democrats will need to pick up a state they lost (or several) in order to win. I think we should go for states like Arkansas, Louisiana, maybe Missouri. Maybe Wes Clark would help bring these states in. Maybe Gephardt would bring Missouri and West Virginia. Maybe Edwards could bring in North Carolina, but I see this as the most unlikely.
What do you think? Is it possible (likely) for a party to win three of those four and lose the election?
I think you win with three of those...
|
