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June 15, 2024, 10:36:06 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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Author Topic: on line stats  (Read 3731 times)
Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
htmldon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,983
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.03, S: -2.26

« on: March 18, 2004, 09:20:36 AM »
« edited: March 18, 2004, 09:21:19 AM by htmldon »

Unless there has been some radical shift in the past two years, this survey is bunk.  The biggest evidence that would shoot this survey down is the 2000 CNN Exit poll that showed that Bush led among Regular Internet users and Gore led among non-Internet users.  Hell, if this survey were even remotely accurate - that "Independent" number would be waaaay higher.
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Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
htmldon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,983
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.03, S: -2.26

« Reply #1 on: March 18, 2004, 09:28:16 AM »
« Edited: March 18, 2004, 09:31:19 AM by htmldon »

Yes, and I'm not even accusing the study of bias - I just don't see how it could be accurate.  Even the Democrats admitted their being behind in technology when Terry McAuliffe claimed that Republicans were using "information age technology to promote stone age beliefs" or some such nonsense after they re-did the DNC web site.  Going from 49-47 to 27-49 in 3 years just doesn't make sense.  Let's see what the 2004 exit polls show us Smiley
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Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
htmldon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,983
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.03, S: -2.26

« Reply #2 on: March 18, 2004, 05:14:34 PM »

NO, that simply is NOT correct!!!

Once again, back to the exit polls...
Gore barely won among 18-29year olds, Bush won among 30-44 and 45-59 year olds and Gore had a wide margin over Bush for the 60+ vote.

Those trends usually play out the same way for other elections as well.  Old women are especially likely to be Democrats, while young men are more Republican.

Republicans do best among middle age people Smiley
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