Snowe and Collins to follow Specter after 2010?

[Smash255]

Perhaps, especially if the Party keeps its current course.  However, I think Snowe is more likely than Collins.  Not only is Snowe a bit more liberal than Collins, but she has been much more critical of the Party than her counterpart.

With that being said the situations are a bit different.  In PA you had two strong factions of the GOP, the conservative faction which never really liked Specter, and the moderate one concentrated heavily in suburban Philly.   The moderate faction fled the party, leaving the state party much more conservative which sunk Specter.  In Maine, even if a bunch of moderates continue to flee the GOP you don't have the real conservative base of the party to sink either Collins or Snowe like they had in PA to sink Specter.  However, that doesn't mean they may not jump ship ot at least pull a Jeffords, but the Primaries won't be part of the decision process like it was with Specter.

[Smash255]

I don't think they'll switch parties on their own free will; I think the party establishment will kick them out

In Maine?  Hardly.  Those two are as conservative as you're ever going to get in New England.  Centrist and left leaning Republicans are a much larger part of the Republican base in New England because the Democrats in those states are a stone's throw from being complete Commies.

The Dems aren't a stones throw from commies, and the moderates and liberal leaning Republicans aren't a larger part of the GOP base in New England because of that.  They are a bigger part of the GOP because they are the only ones that can get elected in New England.  Even with that the GOP in getting pummeled on the state level as well in New England as they are losing sttae house and senate seats in droves.

[Smash255]

I don't think they'll switch parties on their own free will; I think the party establishment will kick them out

In Maine?  Hardly.  Those two are as conservative as you're ever going to get in New England.  Centrist and left leaning Republicans are a much larger part of the Republican base in New England because the Democrats in those states are a stone's throw from being complete Commies.

You don't know anything about politics in New England, do you?

Of course he doesn't which is why he made such a silly post.