A real improvement or a random noise?

[Smash255]

Are these day to day numbers all already weighted 39-35- 26?

I still see it about the same as last election wtih the 4% Dem ID advantage.  A 1 % or 2 difference from that is possible, but I don't see it any larger than that

yes, the single day vaues are weighted to 39/35/26.  I can show you the unweighted values as well, but the bounce around a ton and are not particularly useful.

Rasmussen actually has a rather large "Day of the week" issue.  He weights a ton of it away with his 39/35/26, but in the raw data it is rather a meaningful effect.

As you know, I do believe in partisan weighting (but also believes it changes over time).

Right now I see the following:

Democrats          38%

Republicans         37

Others                25

Would appreciate your feedback.